St Patrick's Athl.
vs
Waterford
0 – 2 Full time
St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford overview
Garuda Lions analysis: St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford
| Probability | St Patrick's Athl. | Draw | Waterford |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.1% | 29.1% | 23.8% |
| Market | 69.2% | 18.6% | 12.2% |
| Final | 63.7% | 21.2% | 15.1% |
| Edge | -22.1% | +10.5% | +11.6% |
Why St Patrick's Athl.
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.96.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
St Patrick's Athl. and Waterford expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.41
St Patrick's Athl. and Waterford attack and defence ratings
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford: result vs prediction
St Patrick's Athl. 0 – 2 Waterford
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St Patrick's Athl. | 63.7% | 1.57 | -22.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St Patrick's Athl. | 63.7% |
| Draw | 21.2% | |
| Waterford | 15.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.5% |
| No | 51.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | St Patrick's Athl. win | 23.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 52.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | |
| 0-0 | 10.2% |
St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford stats
St Patrick's Athl. and Waterford recent form
| St Patrick's Athl. |
WWDDDW |
| Waterford |
DWWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
St Patrick's Athl. and Waterford going into this match
St Patrick's Athl. record
- They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Waterford record
- They have won 7 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Waterford | St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-08 | St Patrick's Athl. | Waterford | Premier Division | 4-1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Waterford | St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-24 | St Patrick's Athl. | Waterford | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-03 | Waterford | St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division | 0-2 |
| 2025-05-23 | St Patrick's Athl. | Waterford | Premier Division | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-28 | Waterford | St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-20 | St Patrick's Athl. | Waterford | Premier Division | 3-0 |
| 2024-07-04 | Waterford | St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-19 | St Patrick's Athl. | Waterford | Premier Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 69.2%, draw 18.6%, away 12.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.33 | 4.85 | 9.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.34 | 5.10 | 7.85 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 4.75 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.36 | 4.90 | 7.10 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.34 | 5.20 | 7.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 5.10 | 7.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37 | 5.45 | 6.73 |
| SBO | 1.31 | 4.59 | 6.28 |
| Superbet | 1.34 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Unibet | 1.36 | 4.90 | 7.50 |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 4.80 | 7.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .