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Premier Division · Full time ·Matchday 31

St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers

2 – 0 Full time

4′Jason McClelland
32′Roberto Lopes
33′Aidan Keena
45′Tunmise SobowaleAdam Brennan
50′Ryan Sheridan
56′Jack ByrneJake Mulraney
67′Aidan KeenaJames Brown
67′Ryan EdmondsonAnthony Olusanya
67′Daniel ClearyJonathan Afolabi
68′Michael NoonanJohn McGovern
68′Zachary ElbouzediRomal Palmer
72′Ryan SheridanChristopher Forrester
73′Graham BurkeCory O'Sullivan
79′Jason McClellandAnto Breslin
80′Cory O'Sullivan

Richmond Park, Dublin

St Patrick's Athl. 45%
Draw 29%
Shamrock Rovers 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
38 Possession % 62
1 Corners 6
11 Fouls 11
4 Saves 3
272 Accurate passes 464

St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySt Patrick's Athl.DrawShamrock Rovers
Model51.3%27.4%21.2%
Market43.4%28.9%27.7%
Final45.4%28.5%26.1%
Edge+7.9%-1.4%-6.4%

Confidence: Low

Why St Patrick's Athl.

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.95.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices St Patrick's Athl. below the model: +7.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

St Patrick's A ↓ / Shamrock Rover → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 11% 13% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

St Patrick's Athl. and Shamrock Rovers expected goals

St Patrick's Athl. 1.59
Shamrock Rovers 0.95

Total expected goals: 2.54

St Patrick's Athl. and Shamrock Rovers attack and defence ratings

St Patrick's Athl.

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Shamrock Rovers

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers: result vs prediction

St Patrick's Athl. 2 – 0 Shamrock Rovers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 31 fixtures

Premier Division

Before and after this match

St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 St Patrick's Athl. 45.4% 2.20 +7.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.2% 1.88 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.0% 2.00 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.8% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2St Patrick's Athl.45.4%
Draw28.5%
Shamrock Rovers26.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.8%
Under 2.553.2%
Both teams to scoreYes50.0%
No50.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.9%
12 (either side)71.5%
X2 (draw or away)54.6%
Handicap -1St Patrick's Athl. win27.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss48.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
1-011.3%
2-010.0%

St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers stats

St Patrick's Athl. and Shamrock Rovers recent form

newest first
St Patrick's Athl. LWWDDD
Shamrock Rovers DDLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

St Patrick's Athl. and Shamrock Rovers going into this match

league record before kick-off

St Patrick's Athl. record

  • They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Shamrock Rovers record

  • They have won 16 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4St Patrick's Athl. wins 1Draws 5Shamrock Rovers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-16St Patrick's Athl.Shamrock RoversFAI Cup3-2
2026-05-29Shamrock RoversSt Patrick's Athl.Premier Division1-0
2026-04-10St Patrick's Athl.Shamrock RoversPremier Division0-1
2026-02-20Shamrock RoversSt Patrick's Athl.Premier Division2-0
2025-10-17St Patrick's Athl.Shamrock RoversPremier Division1-0
2025-05-19Shamrock RoversSt Patrick's Athl.Premier Division4-0
2025-04-18St Patrick's Athl.Shamrock RoversPremier Division2-2
2025-03-07Shamrock RoversSt Patrick's Athl.Premier Division1-0
2024-09-27Shamrock RoversSt Patrick's Athl.Premier Division0-3
2024-06-13St Patrick's Athl.Shamrock RoversPremier Division2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.0%, draw 28.8%, away 28.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.15 3.35 3.30
1xBet 2.15 3.22 3.42
888Sport 2.20 3.00 3.30
Bet365 2.10 3.25 3.20
BetVictor 2.10 3.20 3.25
Betano 2.18 3.20 3.25
Betfair 2.20 3.30 3.20
Dafabet 2.19 3.25 3.25
Marathonbet 2.13 3.22 3.42
Pinnacle 2.19 3.28 3.61
SBO 2.16 2.96 2.85
Superbet 2.17 3.20 3.25
Unibet 2.12 3.25 3.40
William Hill 2.15 3.10 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.14 ▲ +0.13
X 3.22 ▼ -0.08
2 3.36 ▼ -0.38

14 snapshots recorded, from .