Premier Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 32
Shamrock Rovers
vs
Waterford
3 – 2 Full time
| 29′ | Graham Coughlan | ||
| 35′ | Evan McLaughlin | ||
| 54′ | Matthew Healy | ||
| 57′ | Aaron Greene | ||
| 58′ | Bernardo Piexoto Couto | ||
| 62′ | William FitzgeraldTunmise Sobowale | ||
| 62′ | Aaron GreeneJohn McGovern | ||
| 64′ | Evan McLaughlinSam Glenfield | ||
| 67′ | Jack ByrneNajemedine Razi | ||
| 67′ | Adam BrennanJake Mulraney | ||
| 69′ | Kevin Long | ||
| 71′ | John McGovern | ||
| 75′ | John McGovern | ||
| 76′ | C.Noonanjordan faria | ||
| 76′ | Noah MaweneLuke Heeney | ||
| 76′ | Jørgen VoilåsJordan Houston | ||
| 79′ | jordan faria | ||
| 84′ | Daniel Cleary | ||
| 86′ | Sam Glenfield | ||
| 88′ | Daniel ClearyCory O'Sullivan | ||
| 90′ | John Mahon |
Shamrock Rovers
54%
Draw
23%
Waterford
24%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 69 | Possession % | 31 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Saves | 6 |
| 428 | Accurate passes | 121 |
Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford
| Probability | Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Waterford |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.9% | 26.5% | 47.6% |
| Market | 62.8% | 21.5% | 15.8% |
| Final | 53.6% | 22.7% | 23.7% |
| Edge | -36.9% | +5.0% | +31.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
79%
3+ goals
54%
No goals
7%
Shamrock Rovers and Waterford expected goals
Shamrock Rovers
1.18
Waterford
1.67
Total expected goals: 2.85
Shamrock Rovers and Waterford attack and defence ratings
Shamrock Rovers
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.18 +18%
Waterford
Attack
1.22 +22%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford: result vs prediction
Shamrock Rovers 3 – 2 Waterford
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shamrock Rovers | 53.6% | 1.87 | -36.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shamrock Rovers | 53.6% |
| Draw | 22.7% | |
| Waterford | 23.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% |
| No | 42.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shamrock Rovers win | 10.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.0% | |
| Loss | 74.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-1 | 8.5% |
Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford stats
Shamrock Rovers and Waterford recent form
| Shamrock Rovers |
LDDLDL |
| Waterford |
DDWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shamrock Rovers and Waterford going into this match
Shamrock Rovers record
- They have won 16 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Waterford record
- They have won 7 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
8Shamrock Rovers wins
1Draws
1Waterford wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Waterford | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 0-2 |
| 2026-05-01 | Shamrock Rovers | Waterford | Premier Division | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Waterford | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-22 | Waterford | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 1-2 |
| 2025-06-27 | Shamrock Rovers | Waterford | Premier Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-16 | Waterford | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 1-3 |
| 2025-04-11 | Shamrock Rovers | Waterford | Premier Division | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-01 | Shamrock Rovers | Waterford | Premier Division | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-02 | Waterford | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 1-2 |
| 2024-05-06 | Shamrock Rovers | Waterford | Premier Division | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.8%, draw 21.5%, away 15.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 4.33 | 5.97 |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 4.10 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.33 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.15 | 5.90 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 4.33 | 5.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50 | 4.61 | 6.15 |
| SBO | 1.46 | 4.00 | 5.22 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.48 ▲ +0.05
X
4.33 ▼ -0.27
2
5.90 ▼ -0.52
14 snapshots recorded, from .