Premier Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 32
Sligo Rovers
vs
St Patrick's Athl.
0 – 1 Full time
| 48′ | A. Gabbidon | ||
| 59′ | Anto BreslinJason McClelland | ||
| 59′ | Ryan EdmondsonAnthony Olusanya | ||
| 62′ | Carl McHugh | ||
| 62′ | James McManusKaiyne Woolery | ||
| 65′ | Jamie Lennon | ||
| 66′ | Barry BaggleyChristopher Forrester | ||
| 71′ | Cian KavanaghLuke Pearce | ||
| 74′ | Aidan Keena | ||
| 76′ | Ryan SheridanDarragh Nugent | ||
| 77′ | Sean HoareSean mchale | ||
| 79′ | Jack ShorrockKevin Zefi | ||
| 80′ | sean stewartkyle mcdonagh | ||
| 80′ | Carl McHughO.Denham | ||
| 90′ | Kaiyne Woolery |
Sligo Rovers
12%
Draw
20%
St Patrick's Athl.
67%
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 6 | Saves | 3 |
| 257 | Accurate passes | 373 |
Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.
| Probability | Sligo Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 8.8% | 20.4% | 70.8% |
| Market | 13.2% | 20.4% | 66.4% |
| Final | 12.1% | 20.4% | 67.5% |
| Edge | -4.4% | -0.0% | +4.4% |
Why St Patrick's Athl.
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 0.60.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices St Patrick's Athl. below the model: +4.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
50%
No goals
8%
Sligo Rovers and St Patrick's Athl. expected goals
Sligo Rovers
0.60
St Patrick's Athl.
2.07
Total expected goals: 2.67
Sligo Rovers and St Patrick's Athl. attack and defence ratings
Sligo Rovers
Attack
0.67 -33%
Defence
1.50 +50%
St Patrick's Athl.
Attack
1.18 +18%
Defence
0.63 -37%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.: result vs prediction
Sligo Rovers 0 – 1 St Patrick's Athl.
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St Patrick's Athl. | 67.5% | 1.48 | +4.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | St Patrick's Athl. win | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sligo Rovers | 12.1% |
| Draw | 20.4% | |
| St Patrick's Athl. | 67.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.5% |
| No | 59.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 32.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 87.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | St Patrick's Athl. win | 46.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 29.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 14.8% |
| 0-1 | 13.4% | |
| 0-3 | 10.2% |
Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. stats
Sligo Rovers and St Patrick's Athl. recent form
| Sligo Rovers |
LLLDLD |
| St Patrick's Athl. |
WWLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sligo Rovers and St Patrick's Athl. going into this match
Sligo Rovers record
- They have won 5 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
St Patrick's Athl. record
- They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Sligo Rovers wins
1Draws
7St Patrick's Athl. wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | St Patrick's Athl. | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 2-0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Sligo Rovers | St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-03 | St Patrick's Athl. | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 4-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Sligo Rovers | St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | St Patrick's Athl. | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-30 | Sligo Rovers | St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-28 | St Patrick's Athl. | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 4-3 |
| 2024-11-01 | Sligo Rovers | St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division | 0-2 |
| 2024-08-04 | St Patrick's Athl. | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 3-2 |
| 2024-05-06 | Sligo Rovers | St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 13.1%, draw 20.4%, away 66.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.10 | 4.55 | 1.41 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 4.00 | 1.40 |
| BetVictor | 7.00 | 4.60 | 1.36 |
| Betano | 7.50 | 4.50 | 1.38 |
| Betfair | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.33 |
| Marathonbet | 7.10 | 4.55 | 1.40 |
| Pinnacle | 7.38 | 4.84 | 1.42 |
| SBO | 6.76 | 4.30 | 1.31 |
| William Hill | 6.50 | 4.40 | 1.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
7.05 ▲ +1.52
X
4.55 ▲ +0.65
2
1.40 ▼ -0.17
12 snapshots recorded, from .