Premier Division · Full time ·Matchday 32

Bohemians vs Drogheda United

2 – 1 Full time

42′Connor Parsons
43′Luke DennisonFynn Talley
52′Alfie BatesShane Farrell
66′Harry Patrick VaughanZ. Myers
66′Colm WhelanJames Taylor
67′Conor KaneKieran Cruise
67′Brandon KavanaghMark Doyle
67′Thomas OluwaRyan Markey
73′Andrew Quinn
78′Ross Tierney
79′Senan MullenPaddy Madden
85′Kevin Doherty
90′Dawson Devoy
90′Ross TierneyNiall Morahan
90′Connor ParsonsAdam McDonnell

Dalymount Park, Dublin

Bohemians 65%
Draw 20%
Drogheda United 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
55 Possession % 45
11 Corners 3
6 Fouls 6
5 Offsides 3
2 Saves 4
460 Accurate passes 147

Bohemians vs Drogheda United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bohemians vs Drogheda United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBohemiansDrawDrogheda United
Model58.3%21.5%20.1%
Market67.8%19.4%12.8%
Final65.4%19.9%14.6%
Edge-9.5%+2.1%+7.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Bohemians

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.24 vs 1.28.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bohemians ↓ / Drogheda Unite → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 9% 5% 2 7% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 5% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Bohemians and Drogheda United expected goals

Bohemians 2.24
Drogheda United 1.28

Total expected goals: 3.52

Bohemians and Drogheda United attack and defence ratings

Bohemians

Attack 1.50 +50%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Drogheda United

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bohemians vs Drogheda United: result vs prediction

Bohemians 2 – 1 Drogheda United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 32 fixtures

Premier Division

Before and after this match

Bohemians vs Drogheda United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bohemians 65.4% 1.53 -9.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.4% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.4% 1.53 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.4% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.7% 2.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bohemians65.4%
Draw19.9%
Drogheda United14.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.4%
Under 2.531.6%
Both teams to scoreYes65.4%
No34.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.4%
12 (either side)80.1%
X2 (draw or away)34.6%
Handicap -1Bohemians win37.2%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss41.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.5%
1-19.3%
2-07.4%

Bohemians vs Drogheda United stats

Bohemians and Drogheda United recent form

newest first
Bohemians WWWLLL
Drogheda United WWLLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bohemians and Drogheda United going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bohemians record

  • They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).

Drogheda United record

  • They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Bohemians vs Drogheda United head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Bohemians wins 3Draws 4Drogheda United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-03Drogheda UnitedBohemiansPremier Division0-2
2026-05-15BohemiansDrogheda UnitedPremier Division2-1
2026-04-03Drogheda UnitedBohemiansPremier Division0-0
2026-01-09Drogheda UnitedBohemiansFriendlies Clubs1-1
2025-11-01Drogheda UnitedBohemiansPremier Division1-4
2025-08-01BohemiansDrogheda UnitedPremier Division0-1
2025-05-23Drogheda UnitedBohemiansPremier Division1-0
2025-03-03BohemiansDrogheda UnitedPremier Division0-1
2024-09-20BohemiansDrogheda UnitedPremier Division0-1
2024-08-02Drogheda UnitedBohemiansPremier Division2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bohemians vs Drogheda United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.8%, draw 19.4%, away 12.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.36 4.75 8.05
Bet365 1.36 4.50 7.00
BetVictor 1.33 4.75 7.50
Betano 1.39 4.75 6.70
Betfair 1.36 4.75 7.50
Marathonbet 1.35 4.75 8.10
Pinnacle 1.41 5.12 7.22
SBO 1.32 4.53 6.86
William Hill 1.36 4.60 7.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.36 ▼ -0.15
X 4.75 ▲ +0.65
2 7.22 ▲ +1.36

14 snapshots recorded, from .