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Premier Division · Full time ·Matchday 33

Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United

3 – 1 Full time

1′Graham Burke
20′John McGovern
40′Lee Grace
42′John McGovern
45′Lee GraceCory O'Sullivan
45′Leo Burneyjames bolger
60′Dylan WattsNajemedine Razi
60′John McGovernJonathan Afolabi
61′Graham BurkeAaron Greene
62′ethan brien oJago Godden
62′Warren DavisMark Doyle
68′Jack ByrneJohn O'Reilly-O'Sullivan
71′Ryan MarkeyThomas Oluwa
86′Aaron Greene
88′Brandon Kavanagh
90′Cory O'Sullivan

Tallaght Stadium, Dublin

Shamrock Rovers 62%
Draw 22%
Drogheda United 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
61 Possession % 39
6 Corners 4
16 Fouls 12
6 Offsides 2
3 Saves 4
446 Accurate passes 263

Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityShamrock RoversDrawDrogheda United
Model45.2%26.0%28.8%
Market67.7%20.0%12.3%
Final62.1%21.5%16.4%
Edge-22.5%+6.0%+16.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Shamrock Rovers

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 1.32.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Shamrock Rover ↓ / Drogheda Unite → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Shamrock Rovers and Drogheda United expected goals

Shamrock Rovers 1.69
Drogheda United 1.32

Total expected goals: 3.01

Shamrock Rovers and Drogheda United attack and defence ratings

Shamrock Rovers

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Drogheda United

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United: result vs prediction

Shamrock Rovers 3 – 1 Drogheda United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 33 fixtures

Premier Division

Before and after this match

Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Shamrock Rovers 62.1% 1.61 -22.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.0% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.9% 1.64 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.6% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.8% 1.83 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Shamrock Rovers62.1%
Draw21.5%
Drogheda United16.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.0%
Under 2.542.0%
Both teams to scoreYes60.9%
No39.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.6%
12 (either side)78.5%
X2 (draw or away)37.9%
Handicap -1Shamrock Rovers win24.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss54.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
2-19.3%
1-27.2%

Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United stats

Shamrock Rovers and Drogheda United recent form

newest first
Shamrock Rovers WLDDLD
Drogheda United LWWLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Shamrock Rovers and Drogheda United going into this match

league record before kick-off

Shamrock Rovers record

  • They have won 17 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Drogheda United record

  • They have won 8 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 32 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Shamrock Rovers wins 4Draws 0Drogheda United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-31Drogheda UnitedShamrock RoversPremier Division0-0
2026-05-04Shamrock RoversDrogheda UnitedPremier Division4-1
2026-03-16Drogheda UnitedShamrock RoversPremier Division0-0
2025-09-12Drogheda UnitedShamrock RoversFAI Cup1-1
2025-08-31Shamrock RoversDrogheda UnitedPremier Division2-1
2025-06-16Drogheda UnitedShamrock RoversPremier Division1-2
2025-05-09Shamrock RoversDrogheda UnitedPremier Division3-0
2025-03-14Drogheda UnitedShamrock RoversPremier Division1-2
2024-10-18Drogheda UnitedShamrock RoversPremier Division0-1
2024-08-11Shamrock RoversDrogheda UnitedPremier Division1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.7%, draw 20.0%, away 12.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.35 4.80 8.25
Bet365 1.40 4.20 7.00
BetVictor 1.36 4.40 7.50
Betano 1.42 4.45 6.50
Betfair 1.33 4.75 8.00
Dafabet 1.39 4.70 7.00
Marathonbet 1.34 4.80 8.30
Pinnacle 1.40 4.87 8.17
SBO 1.36 4.03 5.99
William Hill 1.36 4.50 7.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.36 ▼ -0.04
X 4.60 ▲ +0.30
2 7.50 ▲ +0.50

32 snapshots recorded, from .