Premier Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 34
Drogheda United
vs
Derry City
2 – 0 Full time
| 7′ | Brandon Kavanagh | ||
| 23′ | nick twisk | ||
| 62′ | Edwin Agbaje | ||
| 62′ | Thomas Oluwa | ||
| 63′ | Kévin SantosDarragh Burns | ||
| 63′ | Tyler·SmithJames Clarke | ||
| 69′ | Thomas OluwaMark Doyle | ||
| 69′ | Brandon KavanaghAlfie Bates | ||
| 75′ | Conor BarryGavin Whyte | ||
| 77′ | Shane FarrellJago Godden | ||
| 79′ | Jamie Stott | ||
| 83′ | Mark Doyle | ||
| 87′ | Warren DavisKeegan Ancelin | ||
| 90′ | Jago Godden |
Drogheda United
31%
Draw
28%
Derry City
41%
Match stats
| 4 | Shots | 30 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 21 | Possession % | 79 |
| 4 | Corners | 11 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 0 |
| 76 | Accurate passes | 514 |
Drogheda United vs Derry City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Drogheda United vs Derry City
| Probability | Drogheda United | Draw | Derry City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.7% | 25.9% | 38.3% |
| Market | 29.5% | 28.1% | 42.4% |
| Final | 31.0% | 27.6% | 41.4% |
| Edge | +1.6% | -0.5% | -1.0% |
Why Derry City
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
60%
No goals
6%
Drogheda United and Derry City expected goals
Drogheda United
1.53
Derry City
1.59
Total expected goals: 3.11
Drogheda United and Derry City attack and defence ratings
Drogheda United
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.20 +20%
Derry City
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Drogheda United vs Derry City: result vs prediction
Drogheda United 2 – 0 Derry City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
Before and after this match
Drogheda United vs Derry City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Derry City | 41.4% | 2.42 | -1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drogheda United | 31.0% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Derry City | 41.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% |
| No | 36.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Derry City win | 19.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 61.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Drogheda United vs Derry City stats
Drogheda United and Derry City recent form
| Drogheda United |
LLWWLL |
| Derry City |
WDWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Drogheda United and Derry City going into this match
Drogheda United record
- They have won 8 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Derry City record
- They have won 9 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Drogheda United vs Derry City head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Drogheda United wins
4Draws
2Derry City wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Derry City | Drogheda United | Premier Division | 2-0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Drogheda United | Derry City | Premier Division | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Derry City | Drogheda United | Premier Division | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-26 | Drogheda United | Derry City | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Derry City | Drogheda United | FAI Cup | 1-1 |
| 2025-06-27 | Derry City | Drogheda United | Premier Division | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-16 | Drogheda United | Derry City | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-11 | Derry City | Drogheda United | Premier Division | 1-3 |
| 2024-11-10 | Drogheda United | Derry City | FAI Cup | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-27 | Drogheda United | Derry City | Premier Division | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Drogheda United vs Derry City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.9%, draw 28.1%, away 42.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.19 | 3.36 | 2.18 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.27 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.35 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 3.18 | 3.36 | 2.16 |
| Pinnacle | 3.26 | 3.40 | 2.28 |
| SBO | 2.88 | 3.09 | 2.18 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.16 ▲ +0.11
X
3.30 ▼ -0.20
2
2.19 ▲ +0.02
14 snapshots recorded, from .