Premier Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 32
Derry City
vs
Galway United
1 – 0 Full time
| 30′ | Stephen Walsh | ||
| 32′ | Patrick McClean | ||
| 45′ | Adam O'Reilly | ||
| 52′ | Lee Devitt Molloy | ||
| 71′ | Stephen WalshFrantz Pierrot | ||
| 71′ | Kristopher Twardekfrancely lomboto | ||
| 71′ | David HurleyDylan Connolly | ||
| 72′ | Ellis ChapmanJames Clarke | ||
| 72′ | Darragh BurnsKévin Santos | ||
| 72′ | Tyler·SmithLiam Boyce | ||
| 81′ | Connor BarrattAl Amin Kazeem |
Derry City
54%
Draw
24%
Galway United
23%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 72 | Possession % | 28 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 520 | Accurate passes | 150 |
Derry City vs Galway United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Derry City vs Galway United
| Probability | Derry City | Draw | Galway United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.0% | 23.7% | 33.3% |
| Market | 57.2% | 23.5% | 19.3% |
| Final | 53.7% | 23.5% | 22.8% |
| Edge | -14.2% | +0.2% | +13.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
69%
No goals
4%
Derry City and Galway United expected goals
Derry City
1.90
Galway United
1.66
Total expected goals: 3.56
Derry City and Galway United attack and defence ratings
Derry City
Attack
1.23 +23%
Defence
1.28 +28%
Galway United
Attack
1.12 +12%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Derry City vs Galway United: result vs prediction
Derry City 1 – 0 Galway United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Derry City vs Galway United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Derry City | 53.7% | 1.86 | -14.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Derry City | 53.7% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Galway United | 22.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.8% |
| No | 30.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Derry City win | 24.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 57.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 7.4% |
Derry City vs Galway United stats
Derry City and Galway United recent form
| Derry City |
DWDLWD |
| Galway United |
WLDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Derry City and Galway United going into this match
Derry City record
- They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Galway United record
- They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Derry City vs Galway United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Derry City wins
4Draws
3Galway United wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Galway United | Derry City | Premier Division | 2-1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Derry City | Galway United | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Galway United | Derry City | Premier Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-22 | Galway United | Derry City | Premier Division | 1-2 |
| 2025-06-13 | Derry City | Galway United | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-18 | Galway United | Derry City | Premier Division | 2-3 |
| 2025-03-07 | Derry City | Galway United | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-30 | Galway United | Derry City | Premier Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-06-07 | Derry City | Galway United | Premier Division | 2-0 |
| 2024-05-03 | Galway United | Derry City | Premier Division | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Derry City vs Galway United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.2%, draw 23.5%, away 19.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.63 | 4.05 | 4.79 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 3.95 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 4.05 | 4.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 4.23 | 4.58 |
| SBO | 1.72 | 3.42 | 3.97 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.62 ▼ -0.12
X
3.95 ▲ +0.15
2
4.79 ▲ +0.51
14 snapshots recorded, from .