Premier Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 30
Sligo Rovers
vs
Galway United
1 – 3 Full time
| 8′ | Cian Kavanagh | ||
| 18′ | Jimmy Keohane | ||
| 33′ | Carl McHugh | ||
| 39′ | Stephen Walsh | ||
| 50′ | Connor BarrattFrantz Pierrot | ||
| 50′ | Stephen Walshfrancely lomboto | ||
| 54′ | Ruben GillespieKaiyne Woolery | ||
| 70′ | A. GabbidonLuke Pearce | ||
| 76′ | Kristopher TwardekDylan Connolly | ||
| 80′ | Luke Pearce | ||
| 84′ | Jimmy Keohane | ||
| 86′ | Jimmy Keohane | ||
| 87′ | Gareth McElroy | ||
| 90′ | David HurleyJunior Thiam |
Sligo Rovers
29%
Draw
27%
Galway United
44%
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 336 | Accurate passes | 149 |
Sligo Rovers vs Galway United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sligo Rovers vs Galway United
| Probability | Sligo Rovers | Draw | Galway United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.1% | 27.3% | 48.6% |
| Market | 30.9% | 26.5% | 42.6% |
| Final | 29.2% | 26.7% | 44.1% |
| Edge | -6.8% | +0.8% | +6.0% |
Why Galway United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Galway United below the model: +6.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
50%
No goals
8%
Sligo Rovers and Galway United expected goals
Sligo Rovers
1.06
Galway United
1.60
Total expected goals: 2.66
Sligo Rovers and Galway United attack and defence ratings
Sligo Rovers
Attack
0.64 -36%
Defence
1.41 +41%
Galway United
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
1.15 +15%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sligo Rovers vs Galway United: result vs prediction
Sligo Rovers 1 – 3 Galway United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sligo Rovers vs Galway United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Galway United | 44.1% | 2.27 | +6.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sligo Rovers | 29.2% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Galway United | 44.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% |
| No | 46.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Galway United win | 26.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 51.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 0-1 | 10.0% | |
| 1-2 | 9.5% |
Sligo Rovers vs Galway United stats
Sligo Rovers and Galway United recent form
| Sligo Rovers |
LLDLDD |
| Galway United |
LDWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sligo Rovers and Galway United going into this match
Sligo Rovers record
- They have won 5 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Galway United record
- They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sligo Rovers vs Galway United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Sligo Rovers wins
2Draws
4Galway United wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Galway United | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 3-2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Sligo Rovers | Galway United | Premier Division | 1-4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Galway United | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Sligo Rovers | Galway United | Friendlies Clubs | 6-0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Galway United | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-06-23 | Sligo Rovers | Galway United | Premier Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-16 | Galway United | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Sligo Rovers | Galway United | Premier Division | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-25 | Sligo Rovers | Galway United | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2024-10-25 | Galway United | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sligo Rovers vs Galway United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.0%, draw 26.6%, away 42.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.45 | 2.20 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.40 | 2.23 |
| Marathonbet | 3.02 | 3.50 | 2.18 |
| Pinnacle | 3.12 | 3.64 | 2.25 |
| SBO | 3.02 | 3.25 | 2.12 |
| Unibet | 2.95 | 3.40 | 2.28 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.00 ▲ +0.05
X
3.50 ▲ +0.10
2
2.18 ▼ -0.07
14 snapshots recorded, from .