Shamrock Rovers
vs
Bohemians
Garuda Lions Prediction: Shamrock Rovers
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians
| Probability | Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Bohemians |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.9% | 21.3% | 29.8% |
| Market | 40.5% | 27.5% | 31.9% |
| Final | 42.6% | 26.0% | 31.4% |
| Edge | +8.4% | -6.2% | -2.2% |
Why Shamrock Rovers
- The market prices Shamrock Rovers below the model: +8.4 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians match preview
Shamrock Rovers host Bohemians in a Premier Division clash on September 4, 2026. The model gives Shamrock Rovers a 43% chance of winning, while Bohemians have a 31% probability. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring with an 8% likelihood. Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring match, with a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance for both teams to score.
Recent form shows Shamrock Rovers with two wins and three draws in their last six matches, while Bohemians have struggled, recording just one win in their last six outings. In their last seven encounters, Shamrock Rovers have secured three victories, while Bohemians have won four times. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shamrock Rovers and Bohemians expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.92
Shamrock Rovers and Bohemians attack and defence ratings
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shamrock Rovers | 42.6% | 2.35 | +8.4% | 2.15 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shamrock Rovers | 42.6% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Bohemians | 31.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.6% |
| No | 24.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shamrock Rovers win | 19.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.6% | |
| Loss | 63.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.9% |
| 1-1 | 7.6% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians stats
Shamrock Rovers and Bohemians recent form
| Shamrock Rovers |
WWLDDL |
| Bohemians |
WWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shamrock Rovers and Bohemians season so far
Shamrock Rovers record
- They have won 17 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bohemians record
- They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Bohemians | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-17 | Shamrock Rovers | Bohemians | Premier Division | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Bohemians | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-26 | Shamrock Rovers | Bohemians | Premier Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-06-23 | Bohemians | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-21 | Shamrock Rovers | Bohemians | Premier Division | 2-3 |
| 2025-02-16 | Bohemians | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.5%, draw 26.8%, away 28.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 3.54 | 3.44 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.35 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.13 | 3.45 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 3.54 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | 3.61 | 3.40 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
91 snapshots recorded, from .