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Premier Division · Full time ·Matchday 30

Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians

2 – 1 Full time

9′Daniel Cleary
15′Adam McDonnellRyan Burke
34′John McGovern
60′Dayle RooneyJames Taylor
60′Colm WhelanMarkuss Strods
65′Jack ByrneJohn O'Reilly-O'Sullivan
66′Matthew Healy
68′Markuss Strods
71′Ross Tierney
76′Dylan Watts
79′Dawson Devoy
79′John O'Reilly-O'Sullivan
80′John McGovernJonathan Afolabi
80′William FitzgeraldCory O'Sullivan
80′Graham BurkeAaron Greene
81′Ryan BurkeSadou Diallo
81′Connor ParsonsHarry Patrick Vaughan
85′Dylan WattsNajemedine Razi
90′Stephen Bradley

Tallaght Stadium, Dublin

Shamrock Rovers 41%
Draw 26%
Bohemians 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 8
38 Possession % 62
3 Corners 6
18 Fouls 13
4 Offsides 0
6 Saves 1
188 Accurate passes 367

Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityShamrock RoversDrawBohemians
Model36.6%22.5%41.0%
Market42.0%27.2%30.8%
Final40.7%26.0%33.3%
Edge-1.4%-1.2%+2.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Shamrock Rover ↓ / Bohemians → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 8% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 75%
No goals 3%

Shamrock Rovers and Bohemians expected goals

Shamrock Rovers 1.90
Bohemians 2.01

Total expected goals: 3.91

Shamrock Rovers and Bohemians attack and defence ratings

Shamrock Rovers

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Bohemians

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians: result vs prediction

Shamrock Rovers 2 – 1 Bohemians

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

Premier Division

Before and after this match

Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Shamrock Rovers 40.7% 2.46 -1.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74.8% 1.34 — —
Both teams to score Yes 74.4% 1.34 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.4% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Shamrock Rovers40.7%
Draw26.0%
Bohemians33.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574.8%
Under 2.525.2%
Both teams to scoreYes74.4%
No25.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.7%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)59.3%
Handicap -1Shamrock Rovers win19.9%
Push (exactly one goal)16.7%
Loss63.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.4%
1-27.7%
2-27.3%

Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians stats

Shamrock Rovers and Bohemians recent form

newest first
Shamrock Rovers WWLDDL
Bohemians WWWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Shamrock Rovers and Bohemians going into this match

league record before kick-off

Shamrock Rovers record

  • They have won 18 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bohemians record

  • They have won 17 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).

Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Shamrock Rovers wins 0Draws 6Bohemians wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-25BohemiansShamrock RoversPremier Division1-2
2026-04-17Shamrock RoversBohemiansPremier Division2-1
2026-02-27BohemiansShamrock RoversPremier Division3-2
2025-09-26Shamrock RoversBohemiansPremier Division2-1
2025-06-23BohemiansShamrock RoversPremier Division2-0
2025-04-21Shamrock RoversBohemiansPremier Division2-3
2025-02-16BohemiansShamrock RoversPremier Division1-0
2024-09-23Shamrock RoversBohemiansPremier Division1-0
2024-09-01BohemiansShamrock RoversPremier Division2-1
2024-07-19BohemiansShamrock RoversFAI Cup1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.0%, draw 27.2%, away 30.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.17 3.48 3.10
Bet365 2.10 3.30 3.10
BetVictor 2.15 3.50 2.90
Betano 2.25 3.35 3.00
Betfair 2.25 3.30 3.00
Dafabet 2.23 3.45 3.00
Marathonbet 2.15 3.48 3.10
Pinnacle 2.28 3.55 3.13
SBO 2.09 3.08 2.85
William Hill 2.25 3.25 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▼ -0.05
X 3.40 ▲ +0.10
2 3.00 —

97 snapshots recorded, from .