Galway United
vs
Shamrock Rovers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Galway United
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers
| Probability | Galway United | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.2% | 26.6% | 32.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.2% | 26.6% | 32.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Galway United and Shamrock Rovers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Galway United and Shamrock Rovers attack and defence ratings
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
Before and after this match
Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Galway United | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Galway United | 41.2% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Shamrock Rovers | 32.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% |
| No | 39.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Galway United win | 21.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 58.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers stats
Galway United and Shamrock Rovers recent form
| Galway United |
DLWLDW |
| Shamrock Rovers |
WWLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Galway United and Shamrock Rovers season so far
Galway United record
- They have won 9 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shamrock Rovers record
- They have won 17 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Shamrock Rovers | Galway United | Premier Division | 3-1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Galway United | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 1-3 |
| 2026-03-20 | Shamrock Rovers | Galway United | Premier Division | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Shamrock Rovers | Galway United | Premier Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Galway United | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-30 | Shamrock Rovers | Galway United | Premier Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-04 | Galway United | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.