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Premier Division · Full time ·Matchday 34

Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers

2 – 0 Full time

2′Jimmy Keohane
15′Matthew Healy
42′Aaron Bolger
45′Jake MulraneyJonathan Afolabi
45′Matthew HealyAdam Brennan
66′John O'Reilly-O'SullivanWilliam Fitzgerald
68′John McGovern
77′Daniel ClearyDaniel Grant
82′Ed McCarthyMatthew Wolfe
89′Tunmise Sobowale
89′Stephen WalshDylan Connolly

Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway

Galway United 26%
Draw 26%
Shamrock Rovers 49%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

6 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 5
18 Possession % 82
2 Corners 9
4 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 1
5 Saves 2
86 Accurate passes 667

Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGalway UnitedDrawShamrock Rovers
Model38.6%26.8%34.6%
Market21.4%25.2%53.4%
Final25.7%25.6%48.7%
Edge+4.3%+0.4%-4.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Shamrock Rovers

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Galway United ↓ / Shamrock Rover → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 7% 13% 8% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Galway United and Shamrock Rovers expected goals

Galway United 1.52
Shamrock Rovers 1.43

Total expected goals: 2.95

Galway United and Shamrock Rovers attack and defence ratings

Galway United

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Shamrock Rovers

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers: result vs prediction

Galway United 2 – 0 Shamrock Rovers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 34 fixtures

Premier Division

Before and after this match

Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Shamrock Rovers 48.7% 2.05 -4.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.5% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.5% 1.65 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.4% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.4% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Galway United25.7%
Draw25.6%
Shamrock Rovers48.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.5%
Under 2.543.5%
Both teams to scoreYes60.5%
No39.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)51.3%
12 (either side)74.4%
X2 (draw or away)74.3%
Handicap -1Shamrock Rovers win16.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.0%
Loss65.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
2-18.6%
1-28.1%

Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers stats

Galway United and Shamrock Rovers recent form

newest first
Galway United DLWLDW
Shamrock Rovers WWWLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Galway United and Shamrock Rovers going into this match

league record before kick-off

Galway United record

  • They have won 9 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 32 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Shamrock Rovers record

  • They have won 19 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Galway United wins 4Draws 6Shamrock Rovers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-26Shamrock RoversGalway UnitedPremier Division3-1
2026-05-08Galway UnitedShamrock RoversPremier Division1-3
2026-03-20Shamrock RoversGalway UnitedPremier Division2-0
2025-10-29Shamrock RoversGalway UnitedPremier Division1-0
2025-08-10Galway UnitedShamrock RoversPremier Division0-0
2025-05-30Shamrock RoversGalway UnitedPremier Division0-0
2025-04-04Galway UnitedShamrock RoversPremier Division0-1
2024-09-16Galway UnitedShamrock RoversPremier Division1-2
2024-08-25Shamrock RoversGalway UnitedPremier Division1-1
2024-04-26Shamrock RoversGalway UnitedPremier Division1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 21.6%, draw 25.3%, away 53.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.22 3.74 1.77
Bet365 4.33 3.60 1.70
BetVictor 4.40 3.60 1.70
Betano 4.20 3.60 1.78
Betfair 4.33 3.80 1.75
Dafabet 4.10 3.75 1.79
Marathonbet 4.25 3.74 1.75
Pinnacle 4.72 3.93 1.74
SBO 3.82 3.41 1.75
William Hill 4.33 3.60 1.73

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.33 ▲ +0.33
X 3.67 ▲ +0.02
2 1.73 ▼ -0.06

9 snapshots recorded, from .