Shamrock Rovers
vs
Sligo Rovers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Shamrock Rovers
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers
| Probability | Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.0% | 17.3% | 9.7% |
| Market | 76.4% | 15.0% | 8.6% |
| Final | 75.5% | 15.6% | 8.9% |
| Edge | -3.4% | +2.3% | +1.1% |
Why Shamrock Rovers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.51 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.22, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers match preview
Shamrock Rovers enter this match with a 73% probability of winning against Sligo Rovers, who have a 10% chance, according to our model. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-0 in favor of Shamrock Rovers, with an expected goals tally of 2.51 for them compared to just 0.84 for Sligo Rovers. Additionally, there is a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Recent form shows Shamrock Rovers with a mixed record of L-W-W-W-L-D, while Sligo Rovers have struggled significantly, losing their last five matches and drawing one. In their last seven head-to-head encounters, Shamrock Rovers have secured three wins, while Sligo Rovers have also claimed three victories, with one match ending in a draw. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shamrock Rovers and Sligo Rovers expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.35
Shamrock Rovers and Sligo Rovers attack and defence ratings
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shamrock Rovers | 75.5% | 1.32 | -3.4% | 1.22 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Shamrock Rovers win | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shamrock Rovers | 75.5% |
| Draw | 15.6% | |
| Sligo Rovers | 8.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% |
| No | 47.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 24.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shamrock Rovers win | 51.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 27.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 3-0 | 9.2% |
Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers stats
Shamrock Rovers and Sligo Rovers recent form
| Shamrock Rovers |
LWWWLD |
| Sligo Rovers |
LLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shamrock Rovers and Sligo Rovers season so far
Shamrock Rovers record
- They have won 19 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sligo Rovers record
- They have won 5 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Sligo Rovers | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 1-2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Shamrock Rovers | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-13 | Sligo Rovers | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Shamrock Rovers | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-05 | Sligo Rovers | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-05 | Shamrock Rovers | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-03 | Sligo Rovers | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 76.4%, draw 15.0%, away 8.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.22 | 6.20 | 10.80 |