Bohemians
vs
Shelbourne
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bohemians
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Bohemians vs Shelbourne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bohemians vs Shelbourne
| Probability | Bohemians | Draw | Shelbourne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.4% | 22.6% | 31.1% |
| Market | 56.6% | 23.6% | 19.8% |
| Final | 54.0% | 23.4% | 22.6% |
| Edge | -10.2% | -1.1% | +11.3% |
Why Bohemians
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 1.70.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.67, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Bohemians vs Shelbourne match preview
Bohemians enter this match with a strong recent form, having won their last six games, while Shelbourne's form is more mixed, with four wins, a draw, and two losses in their last seven matches. According to our model, Bohemians have a 54% probability of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 2-1. The expected goals for Bohemians are 2.09, compared to 1.70 for Shelbourne.
Both teams are likely to score, with our model indicating a 72% probability for this outcome. Additionally, there is a 73% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals. The head-to-head record over the last seven encounters shows a balanced competition, with Bohemians securing 2 wins, Shelbourne also with 2 wins, and 3 matches ending in draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bohemians and Shelbourne expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.79
Bohemians and Shelbourne attack and defence ratings
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bohemians vs Shelbourne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bohemians | 54.0% | 1.85 | -10.2% | 1.67 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bohemians | 54.0% |
| Draw | 23.4% | |
| Shelbourne | 22.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.4% |
| No | 27.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bohemians win | 27.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 53.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Bohemians vs Shelbourne stats
Bohemians and Shelbourne recent form
| Bohemians |
WLWWWW |
| Shelbourne |
WWDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bohemians and Shelbourne season so far
Bohemians record
- They have won 17 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
Shelbourne record
- They have won 10 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bohemians vs Shelbourne head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Shelbourne | Bohemians | Premier Division | 0-3 |
| 2026-05-04 | Bohemians | Shelbourne | Premier Division | 2-2 |
| 2026-03-16 | Shelbourne | Bohemians | Premier Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Bohemians | Shelbourne | Premier Division | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-09 | Shelbourne | Bohemians | Premier Division | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-16 | Bohemians | Shelbourne | Premier Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-11 | Shelbourne | Bohemians | Premier Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bohemians vs Shelbourne odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.6%, draw 23.6%, away 19.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.95 | 4.61 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.95 | 4.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62 | 4.04 | 5.05 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.70 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .