Bohemians
vs
Waterford
2 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | Sam Todd | ||
| 38′ | Padraig Amond | ||
| 48′ | cian byrne | ||
| 64′ | Ryan Burke | ||
| 74′ | Sadou DialloNiall Morahan | ||
| 74′ | James TaylorColm Whelan | ||
| 74′ | Harry Patrick VaughanMarkuss Strods | ||
| 75′ | Niall Morahan | ||
| 78′ | Ryan BurkePatrick Hickey | ||
| 79′ | Noah MaweneJørgen Voilås | ||
| 79′ | Luke HeeneyEvan McLaughlin | ||
| 86′ | Jordan HoustonDean Mcmenamy | ||
| 90′ | Connor ParsonsDayle Rooney |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 420 | Accurate passes | 196 |
Bohemians vs Waterford overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bohemians vs Waterford
| Probability | Bohemians | Draw | Waterford |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.1% | 23.4% | 32.5% |
| Market | 57.2% | 22.5% | 20.3% |
| Final | 53.9% | 22.7% | 23.3% |
| Edge | -3.3% | +0.2% | +3.0% |
Why Bohemians
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bohemians and Waterford expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.61
Bohemians and Waterford attack and defence ratings
Bohemians
Waterford
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bohemians vs Waterford: result vs prediction
Bohemians 2 – 1 Waterford
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bohemians vs Waterford markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bohemians | 53.9% | 1.85 | -3.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bohemians | 53.9% |
| Draw | 22.7% | |
| Waterford | 23.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.4% |
| No | 29.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bohemians win | 25.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 55.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 7.3% |
Bohemians vs Waterford stats
Bohemians and Waterford recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bohemians and Waterford going into this match
Bohemians record
- They have won 17 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
Waterford record
- They have won 7 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bohemians vs Waterford head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Bohemians | Waterford | FAI Cup | 0-2 |
| 2026-08-09 | Waterford | Bohemians | Premier Division | 3-1 |
| 2026-04-06 | Bohemians | Waterford | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Waterford | Bohemians | Premier Division | 0-1 |
| 2026-01-30 | Waterford | Bohemians | Friendlies Clubs | 1-4 |
| 2025-09-19 | Bohemians | Waterford | Premier Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-06-20 | Waterford | Bohemians | Premier Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-02 | Bohemians | Waterford | Premier Division | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-07 | Waterford | Bohemians | Premier Division | 0-3 |
| 2024-10-25 | Waterford | Bohemians | Premier Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bohemians vs Waterford odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.9%, draw 21.9%, away 20.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.63 | 4.25 | 4.54 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.25 | 4.90 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.55 | 4.50 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 4.25 | 4.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64 | 4.32 | 4.93 |
| SBO | 1.51 | 4.07 | 4.62 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .