Bohemians
vs
Waterford
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bohemians
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Bohemians vs Waterford overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bohemians vs Waterford
| Probability | Bohemians | Draw | Waterford |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.9% | 22.9% | 29.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 47.9% | 22.9% | 29.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Bohemians
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.59.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bohemians and Waterford expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.65
Bohemians and Waterford attack and defence ratings
Bohemians
Waterford
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bohemians vs Waterford markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bohemians | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bohemians | 47.9% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| Waterford | 29.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.3% |
| No | 29.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bohemians win | 28.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 52.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Bohemians vs Waterford stats
Bohemians and Waterford recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bohemians and Waterford season so far
Bohemians record
- They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
Waterford record
- They have won 7 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bohemians vs Waterford head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Waterford | Bohemians | Premier Division | 3-1 |
| 2026-04-06 | Bohemians | Waterford | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Waterford | Bohemians | Premier Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Bohemians | Waterford | Premier Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-06-20 | Waterford | Bohemians | Premier Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-02 | Bohemians | Waterford | Premier Division | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-07 | Waterford | Bohemians | Premier Division | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.