Waterford
vs
Galway United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Waterford
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Waterford vs Galway United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Waterford vs Galway United
| Probability | Waterford | Draw | Galway United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.2% | 25.8% | 22.0% |
| Market | 44.9% | 25.0% | 30.1% |
| Final | 46.7% | 25.2% | 28.1% |
| Edge | +7.3% | +0.8% | -8.2% |
Why Waterford
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.07.
- The market prices Waterford below the model: +7.3 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.12, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Waterford vs Galway United match preview
Waterford faces Galway United in an intriguing Premier Division clash. According to our model, Waterford has a 47% probability of winning, while Galway United stands at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Waterford, with an expected goals tally of 1.75 for Waterford and 1.07 for Galway United. Both teams are also likely to score, with a 55% probability for that outcome.
In terms of recent form, Waterford has recorded a sequence of L-D-D-W-D-W, while Galway United shows a mixed bag with D-L-W-L-D-W. The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters reveals Waterford with 2 wins, 4 draws, and Galway United with 4 wins. The confidence grade for this match is rated as C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Waterford and Galway United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.81
Waterford and Galway United attack and defence ratings
Waterford
Galway United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
Before and after this match
Waterford vs Galway United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waterford | 46.7% | 2.14 | +7.3% | 2.12 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waterford | 46.7% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Galway United | 28.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.2% |
| No | 44.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Waterford win | 29.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 47.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 1-0 | 9.4% |
Waterford vs Galway United stats
Waterford and Galway United recent form
| Waterford |
LDDWDW |
| Galway United |
DLWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Waterford and Galway United season so far
Waterford record
- They have won 7 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Galway United record
- They have won 9 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Waterford vs Galway United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Galway United | Waterford | Premier Division | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Waterford | Galway United | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-16 | Galway United | Waterford | Premier Division | 4-3 |
| 2025-11-01 | Waterford | Galway United | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-25 | Galway United | Waterford | Premier Division | 2-4 |
| 2025-05-09 | Waterford | Galway United | Premier Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-14 | Galway United | Waterford | Premier Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-27 | Waterford | Galway United | Premier Division | 1-2 |
| 2024-07-12 | Galway United | Waterford | Premier Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-12 | Waterford | Galway United | Premier Division | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Waterford vs Galway United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.8%, draw 24.9%, away 30.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.56 | 3.14 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.75 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.75 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.04 | 3.85 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 3.56 | 3.14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09 | 3.91 | 3.11 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .