Shelbourne
vs
Sligo Rovers
5 – 1 Full time
Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers
| Probability | Shelbourne | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.1% | 23.0% | 13.9% |
| Market | 72.9% | 16.8% | 10.3% |
| Final | 70.5% | 18.3% | 11.2% |
| Edge | -9.9% | +6.3% | +3.6% |
Why Shelbourne
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shelbourne and Sligo Rovers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Shelbourne and Sligo Rovers attack and defence ratings
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers: result vs prediction
Shelbourne 5 – 1 Sligo Rovers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shelbourne | 70.5% | 1.42 | -9.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Shelbourne win | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shelbourne | 70.5% |
| Draw | 18.3% | |
| Sligo Rovers | 11.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.1% |
| No | 50.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shelbourne win | 39.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 36.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.9% |
| 1-0 | 11.2% | |
| 1-1 | 11.0% |
Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers stats
Shelbourne and Sligo Rovers recent form
| Shelbourne |
DWLLDD |
| Sligo Rovers |
LLLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shelbourne and Sligo Rovers going into this match
Shelbourne record
- They have won 9 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sligo Rovers record
- They have won 5 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Sligo Rovers | Shelbourne | Premier Division | 2-2 |
| 2026-05-08 | Shelbourne | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Sligo Rovers | Shelbourne | Premier Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Shelbourne | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 3-1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Sligo Rovers | Shelbourne | Premier Division | 0-2 |
| 2025-05-23 | Shelbourne | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 3-2 |
| 2025-03-28 | Sligo Rovers | Shelbourne | Premier Division | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-27 | Shelbourne | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 0-0 |
| 2024-08-10 | Sligo Rovers | Shelbourne | Premier Division | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-31 | Shelbourne | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 72.9%, draw 16.8%, away 10.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.28 | 5.60 | 9.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 4.75 | 9.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 5.50 | 9.00 |
| Betano | 1.32 | 4.90 | 8.25 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 6.00 | 9.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.29 | 5.60 | 8.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.27 | 5.60 | 9.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27 | 6.09 | 9.94 |
| SBO | 1.27 | 5.13 | 7.05 |
| William Hill | 1.29 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
34 snapshots recorded, from .