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Premier Division · Full time ·Matchday 33

Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers

5 – 1 Full time

12′Daniel Kelly
27′Kaiyne Woolery
28′Jack Henry-Francis
45′Kaiyne Woolery
50′Ademipo Odubeko
52′Ademipo OdubekoJohn Martin
52′John Martin
55′Odhran Casey
57′Milan Bernhard Mbeng
59′James McManusDaire Patton
59′Archie MeekisonCian Kavanagh
59′John Martin
59′Milan Bernhard Mbeng
60′Ruben GillespieSeb Quirk
64′Milan Bernhard MbengMarco Untergrabner
64′Jack Henry-FrancisAlistair Coote
65′A. GabbidonKevin Zefi
76′James Norrisjames roche
76′Daniel KellySean Boyd
76′Luke Young
81′Kaiyne WooleryLuke Pearce
85′Sean Moore

Tolka Park, DublinReferee: P. McLaughlin

Shelbourne 70%
Draw 18%
Sligo Rovers 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

26 Shots 9
11 Shots on target 1
54 Possession % 46
10 Corners 6
11 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 1
0 Saves 6
365 Accurate passes 282

Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityShelbourneDrawSligo Rovers
Model63.1%23.0%13.9%
Market72.9%16.8%10.3%
Final70.5%18.3%11.2%
Edge-2.5%+1.6%+0.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Shelbourne

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.82.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Shelbourne ↓ / Sligo Rovers → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 11% 11% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Shelbourne and Sligo Rovers expected goals

Shelbourne 1.96
Sligo Rovers 0.82

Total expected goals: 2.78

Shelbourne and Sligo Rovers attack and defence ratings

Shelbourne

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Sligo Rovers

Attack 0.62 -38%
Defence 1.39 +39%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers: result vs prediction

Shelbourne 5 – 1 Sligo Rovers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 33 fixtures

Premier Division

Before and after this match

Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Shelbourne 70.5% 1.42 -2.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.5% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score No 50.9% 1.96 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.8% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Shelbourne win 39.1% 2.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Shelbourne70.5%
Draw18.3%
Sligo Rovers11.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.5%
Under 2.547.5%
Both teams to scoreYes49.1%
No50.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.8%
12 (either side)81.7%
X2 (draw or away)29.5%
Handicap -1Shelbourne win39.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.9%
Loss36.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.9%
1-011.2%
1-111.0%

Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers stats

Shelbourne and Sligo Rovers recent form

newest first
Shelbourne DWLLDD
Sligo Rovers LLLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Shelbourne and Sligo Rovers going into this match

league record before kick-off

Shelbourne record

  • They have won 9 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 32 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sligo Rovers record

  • They have won 5 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 16 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Shelbourne wins 3Draws 2Sligo Rovers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-27Sligo RoversShelbournePremier Division2-2
2026-05-08ShelbourneSligo RoversPremier Division0-0
2026-03-21Sligo RoversShelbournePremier Division0-1
2025-10-17ShelbourneSligo RoversPremier Division3-1
2025-08-02Sligo RoversShelbournePremier Division0-2
2025-05-23ShelbourneSligo RoversPremier Division3-2
2025-03-28Sligo RoversShelbournePremier Division1-2
2024-09-27ShelbourneSligo RoversPremier Division0-0
2024-08-10Sligo RoversShelbournePremier Division2-1
2024-05-31ShelbourneSligo RoversPremier Division1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 72.9%, draw 16.8%, away 10.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.28 5.60 9.10
Bet365 1.28 4.75 9.00
BetVictor 1.25 5.50 9.00
Betano 1.32 4.90 8.25
Betfair 1.25 6.00 9.50
Dafabet 1.29 5.60 8.60
Marathonbet 1.27 5.60 9.20
Pinnacle 1.27 6.09 9.94
SBO 1.27 5.13 7.05
William Hill 1.29 5.00 9.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.27 ▼ -0.10
X 5.55 ▲ +1.22
2 9.00 ▲ +1.00

34 snapshots recorded, from .