Premier Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 11
Galway United
vs
Shelbourne
1 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | Wasiri WilliamsAl Amin Kazeem | ||
| 45′ | Sean MooreSean Boyd | ||
| 45′ | Jimmy Keohane | ||
| 53′ | Al Amin Kazeemfrancely lomboto | ||
| 58′ | Ademipo Odubeko | ||
| 60′ | Sam Bone | ||
| 65′ | Sam BoneAlistair Coote | ||
| 77′ | Sean BoydJohn Martin | ||
| 82′ | Stephen WalshFrantz Pierrot | ||
| 83′ | Aaron Bolger | ||
| 90′ | Anthony O'Connor |
Galway United
38%
Draw
27%
Shelbourne
35%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 147 | Accurate passes | 279 |
Galway United vs Shelbourne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Galway United vs Shelbourne
| Probability | Galway United | Draw | Shelbourne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.7% | 26.5% | 27.9% |
| Market | 35.6% | 27.0% | 37.3% |
| Final | 38.1% | 26.9% | 35.0% |
| Edge | +10.1% | -0.6% | -9.5% |
Why Galway United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.25.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Galway United below the model: +10.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
7%
Galway United and Shelbourne expected goals
Galway United
1.65
Shelbourne
1.25
Total expected goals: 2.91
Galway United and Shelbourne attack and defence ratings
Galway United
Attack
0.97 -3%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Shelbourne
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
1.19 +19%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Galway United vs Shelbourne: result vs prediction
Galway United 1 – 1 Shelbourne
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Galway United vs Shelbourne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Galway United | 38.1% | 2.62 | +10.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Galway United | 38.1% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Shelbourne | 35.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% |
| No | 41.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Galway United win | 24.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 54.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 7.9% |
Galway United vs Shelbourne stats
Galway United and Shelbourne recent form
| Galway United |
LWLDWD |
| Shelbourne |
WLLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Galway United and Shelbourne going into this match
Galway United record
- They have won 9 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shelbourne record
- They have won 9 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Galway United vs Shelbourne head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Galway United wins
7Draws
2Shelbourne wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Galway United | Shelbourne | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Shelbourne | Galway United | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Shelbourne | Galway United | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-07 | Shelbourne | Galway United | Premier Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-06-27 | Galway United | Shelbourne | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-21 | Shelbourne | Galway United | Premier Division | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-03 | Galway United | Shelbourne | Premier Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-20 | Galway United | Shelbourne | Premier Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-16 | Shelbourne | Galway United | FAI Cup | 1-1 |
| 2024-06-28 | Shelbourne | Galway United | Premier Division | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Galway United vs Shelbourne odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.5%, draw 27.3%, away 37.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.61 | 3.44 | 2.49 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.77 | 3.40 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.61 | 3.44 | 2.49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.69 | 3.58 | 2.59 |
| SBO | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.34 |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.61 ▼ -0.22
X
3.44 ▼ -0.06
2
2.49 ▲ +0.18
14 snapshots recorded, from .