Premier Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 32
Dundalk
vs
Shelbourne
2 – 3 Full time
| 10′ | Ademipo Odubeko | ||
| 12′ | ronan teahan | ||
| 16′ | Eddie BeachConor Walsh | ||
| 27′ | Trevor ClarkeDeclan McDaid | ||
| 37′ | John Ross WilsonHarvey Warren | ||
| 39′ | Sean Moore | ||
| 55′ | Keith Buckley | ||
| 70′ | Keith Buckleyshane tracey | ||
| 70′ | Cian dillonleonardo gaxha | ||
| 71′ | Declan McDaid | ||
| 75′ | James Norris | ||
| 78′ | Kerr McinroyAlistair Coote | ||
| 78′ | Ademipo OdubekoDaniel Ring | ||
| 78′ | Daniel KellySean Boyd | ||
| 80′ | Sean Boyd | ||
| 83′ | John Russell | ||
| 83′ | Sam Bone | ||
| 85′ | shane tracey | ||
| 88′ | Alistair Coote | ||
| 90′ | Sean Boyd |
Dundalk
39%
Draw
26%
Shelbourne
35%
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 187 | Accurate passes | 253 |
Dundalk vs Shelbourne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dundalk vs Shelbourne
| Probability | Dundalk | Draw | Shelbourne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.5% | 26.1% | 31.4% |
| Market | 37.8% | 26.5% | 35.7% |
| Final | 39.0% | 26.4% | 34.6% |
| Edge | +4.6% | -0.4% | -4.3% |
Why Dundalk
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Dundalk below the model: +4.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
58%
No goals
6%
Dundalk and Shelbourne expected goals
Dundalk
1.64
Shelbourne
1.39
Total expected goals: 3.04
Dundalk and Shelbourne attack and defence ratings
Dundalk
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.34 +34%
Shelbourne
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dundalk vs Shelbourne: result vs prediction
Dundalk 2 – 3 Shelbourne
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dundalk vs Shelbourne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dundalk | 39.0% | 2.56 | +4.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dundalk | 39.0% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Shelbourne | 34.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% |
| No | 38.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dundalk win | 22.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.6% |
Dundalk vs Shelbourne stats
Dundalk and Shelbourne recent form
| Dundalk |
LDWLLD |
| Shelbourne |
LLDDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dundalk and Shelbourne going into this match
Dundalk record
- They have won 10 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Shelbourne record
- They have won 8 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dundalk vs Shelbourne head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
1Dundalk wins
1Draws
7Shelbourne wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Shelbourne | Dundalk | Premier Division | 2-1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Dundalk | Shelbourne | Premier Division | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-03 | Shelbourne | Dundalk | Premier Division | 2-3 |
| 2026-01-20 | Shelbourne | Dundalk | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-30 | Dundalk | Shelbourne | Premier Division | 0-1 |
| 2024-06-07 | Shelbourne | Dundalk | Premier Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-03 | Dundalk | Shelbourne | Premier Division | 0-0 |
| 2024-03-29 | Shelbourne | Dundalk | Premier Division | 2-1 |
| 2023-10-06 | Shelbourne | Dundalk | Premier Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dundalk vs Shelbourne odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.8%, draw 26.5%, away 35.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.45 | 3.48 | 2.63 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.63 |
| Marathonbet | 2.45 | 3.48 | 2.63 |
| Pinnacle | 2.49 | 3.63 | 2.77 |
| SBO | 2.30 | 3.28 | 2.56 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.45 ▲ +0.16
X
3.50 —
2
2.60 ▼ -0.26
14 snapshots recorded, from .