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Premier Division · Full time ·Matchday 30

Shelbourne vs Drogheda United

1 – 2 Full time

10′Sean BoydRodrigo Costa Freitas
22′Daniel Kelly
40′Warren Davis
44′Kerr Mcinroy
57′Leo Burney
61′Evan CaffreyAlistair Coote
61′Rodrigo Costa FreitasAdemipo Odubeko
68′Brandon KavanaghShane Farrell
68′Thomas OluwaMark Doyle
68′Alfie Bates
69′Sean Moorewill jarvis
79′Warren DavisRyan Markey
80′Alistair Coote
83′will jarvis
89′Alfie BatesRyan Brennan

Tolka Park, Dublin

Shelbourne 46%
Draw 27%
Drogheda United 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
66 Possession % 34
7 Corners 1
12 Fouls 11
4 Offsides 1
2 Saves 3
393 Accurate passes 168

Shelbourne vs Drogheda United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Shelbourne vs Drogheda United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityShelbourneDrawDrogheda United
Model42.8%28.9%28.3%
Market46.9%26.9%26.2%
Final45.9%27.4%26.7%
Edge-4.2%+2.0%+2.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Shelbourne

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 1.11.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Shelbourne ↓ / Drogheda Unite → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Shelbourne and Drogheda United expected goals

Shelbourne 1.42
Drogheda United 1.11

Total expected goals: 2.53

Shelbourne and Drogheda United attack and defence ratings

Shelbourne

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Drogheda United

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Shelbourne vs Drogheda United: result vs prediction

Shelbourne 1 – 2 Drogheda United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

Premier Division

Before and after this match

Shelbourne vs Drogheda United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Shelbourne 45.9% 2.18 -4.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.5% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.2% 1.92 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.3% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.2% 1.75 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Shelbourne45.9%
Draw27.4%
Drogheda United26.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.5%
Under 2.553.5%
Both teams to scoreYes52.2%
No47.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.3%
12 (either side)72.6%
X2 (draw or away)54.1%
Handicap -1Shelbourne win21.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss57.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
1-010.0%
0-09.2%

Shelbourne vs Drogheda United stats

Shelbourne and Drogheda United recent form

newest first
Shelbourne LDDDLL
Drogheda United WLLDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Shelbourne and Drogheda United going into this match

league record before kick-off

Shelbourne record

  • They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Drogheda United record

  • They have won 7 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Shelbourne vs Drogheda United head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Shelbourne wins 4Draws 3Drogheda United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-19Drogheda UnitedShelbournePremier Division2-2
2026-04-24ShelbourneDrogheda UnitedPremier Division3-4
2026-02-27Drogheda UnitedShelbournePremier Division1-2
2025-09-22Drogheda UnitedShelbournePremier Division2-1
2025-05-19ShelbourneDrogheda UnitedPremier Division0-0
2025-04-18Drogheda UnitedShelbournePremier Division2-2
2025-03-07ShelbourneDrogheda UnitedPremier Division0-1
2025-02-07ShelbourneDrogheda UnitedFAI President's Cup2-0
2024-10-25ShelbourneDrogheda UnitedPremier Division2-1
2024-07-04Drogheda UnitedShelbournePremier Division1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Shelbourne vs Drogheda United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.3%, draw 26.7%, away 26.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.00 3.46 3.55
Bet365 1.95 3.30 3.50
BetVictor 1.95 3.40 3.50
Betano 1.95 3.45 3.60
Betfair 2.00 3.50 3.50
Dafabet 1.74 3.70 4.30
Marathonbet 1.98 3.46 3.55
Pinnacle 2.03 3.66 3.66
SBO 1.78 3.39 4.00
Unibet 1.77 3.65 4.30
William Hill 2.00 3.30 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.98 ▲ +0.22
X 3.45 ▼ -0.25
2 3.55 ▼ -0.75

14 snapshots recorded, from .