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Premier Division · Full time ·Matchday 34

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk

1 – 1 Full time

The Showgrounds, Sligo

Sligo Rovers 23%
Draw 23%
Dundalk 53%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySligo RoversDrawDundalk
Model24.9%24.1%50.9%
Market22.5%23.3%54.2%
Final23.1%23.5%53.4%
Edge+2.4%+0.9%-3.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Dundalk

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.31.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sligo Rovers ↓ / Dundalk → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Sligo Rovers and Dundalk expected goals

Sligo Rovers 1.31
Dundalk 1.93

Total expected goals: 3.24

Sligo Rovers and Dundalk attack and defence ratings

Sligo Rovers

Attack 0.62 -38%
Defence 1.62 +62%

Dundalk

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.45 +45%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk: result vs prediction

Sligo Rovers 1 – 1 Dundalk

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 34 fixtures

Premier Division

Before and after this match

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dundalk 53.4% 1.87 -3.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.7% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.3% 1.58 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 76.9% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.1% 2.04 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sligo Rovers23.1%
Draw23.5%
Dundalk53.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.7%
Under 2.537.3%
Both teams to scoreYes63.3%
No36.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)46.6%
12 (either side)76.5%
X2 (draw or away)76.9%
Handicap -1Dundalk win29.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss49.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
1-29.6%
0-27.3%

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk stats

Sligo Rovers and Dundalk recent form

newest first
Sligo Rovers LLLLLD
Dundalk LLLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sligo Rovers and Dundalk going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sligo Rovers record

  • They have won 5 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 16 of 33 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dundalk record

  • They have won 10 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 33 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Sligo Rovers wins 2Draws 4Dundalk wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-31DundalkSligo RoversPremier Division1-1
2026-04-25Sligo RoversDundalkPremier Division2-0
2026-03-16DundalkSligo RoversPremier Division1-0
2025-07-18DundalkSligo RoversFAI Cup0-2
2024-09-21Sligo RoversDundalkPremier Division2-1
2024-06-13DundalkSligo RoversPremier Division1-0
2024-04-19Sligo RoversDundalkPremier Division1-1
2024-03-04DundalkSligo RoversPremier Division0-5
2023-10-20Sligo RoversDundalkPremier Division0-2
2023-08-11DundalkSligo RoversPremier Division1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 22.6%, draw 23.6%, away 53.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.12 4.10 1.72
Bet365 3.90 3.90 1.70
BetVictor 4.10 3.90 1.67
Betano 4.20 3.70 1.75
Betfair 4.20 4.00 1.73
Dafabet 4.00 3.95 1.76
Marathonbet 4.15 4.10 1.70
Pinnacle 4.35 4.06 1.77
SBO 3.62 3.53 1.70
William Hill 4.00 3.80 1.73

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.11 ▼ -0.03
X 3.98 ▼ -0.09
2 1.71 ▼ -0.01

12 snapshots recorded, from .