Gjilani
vs
Prishtina
1 – 2 Full time
| 29′ | A. Fazlija | ||
| 34′ | L. Boshnjaku | ||
| 66′ | A. Poci |
Gjilani vs Prishtina overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gjilani vs Prishtina
| Probability | Gjilani | Draw | Prishtina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.9% | 25.6% | 47.5% |
| Market | 32.8% | 28.1% | 39.1% |
| Final | 31.3% | 27.5% | 41.2% |
| Edge | -5.9% | -2.5% | +8.5% |
Why Prishtina
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.28.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Prishtina below the model: +8.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gjilani and Prishtina expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.03
Gjilani and Prishtina attack and defence ratings
Gjilani
Prishtina
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gjilani vs Prishtina: result vs prediction
Gjilani 1 – 2 Prishtina
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gjilani vs Prishtina markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Prishtina | 41.2% | 2.43 | +8.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gjilani | 31.3% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Prishtina | 41.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% |
| No | 39.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Prishtina win | 26.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 52.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.4% |
Gjilani vs Prishtina stats
Gjilani and Prishtina recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gjilani and Prishtina going into this match
Gjilani record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Prishtina record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Gjilani vs Prishtina head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Prishtina | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Gjilani | Prishtina | Kosovo Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Prishtina | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Gjilani | Prishtina | Kosovo Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-11 | Prishtina | Gjilani | Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-15 | Gjilani | Prishtina | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-07 | Prishtina | Gjilani | Superliga | 2-2 |
| 2024-09-29 | Gjilani | Prishtina | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-13 | Prishtina | Gjilani | Superliga | 1-3 |
| 2024-02-16 | Gjilani | Prishtina | Superliga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gjilani vs Prishtina odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.8%, draw 28.1%, away 39.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.81 | 3.18 | 2.28 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.72 | 3.15 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.74 | 3.18 | 2.26 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 2.90 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .