Vushtrria
vs
Gjilani
1 – 0 Full time
| 60′ | U. Statovci |
Vushtrria vs Gjilani overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vushtrria vs Gjilani
| Probability | Vushtrria | Draw | Gjilani |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.1% | 25.4% | 50.5% |
| Market | 11.0% | 19.0% | 70.0% |
| Final | 14.2% | 20.6% | 65.2% |
| Edge | +3.3% | +1.6% | -4.9% |
Why Gjilani
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vushtrria and Gjilani expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.93
Vushtrria and Gjilani attack and defence ratings
Vushtrria
Gjilani
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vushtrria vs Gjilani: result vs prediction
Vushtrria 1 – 0 Gjilani
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vushtrria vs Gjilani markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gjilani | 65.2% | 1.53 | -4.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Gjilani win | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vushtrria | 14.2% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| Gjilani | 65.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% |
| No | 41.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 34.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gjilani win | 41.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 35.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 8.2% |
Vushtrria vs Gjilani stats
Vushtrria and Gjilani recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vushtrria and Gjilani going into this match
Vushtrria record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Gjilani record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Vushtrria vs Gjilani head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-06-20 | Gjilani | Vushtrria | Superliga | 3-0 |
| 2019-11-07 | Vushtrria | Gjilani | Superliga | 1-3 |
| 2019-09-01 | Gjilani | Vushtrria | Superliga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vushtrria vs Gjilani odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.0%, draw 19.0%, away 70.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.45 | 4.90 | 1.25 |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 4.50 | 1.33 |
| Betano | 7.20 | 4.30 | 1.35 |
| Betfair | 9.50 | 5.00 | 1.22 |
| Dafabet | 7.60 | 4.60 | 1.33 |
| Marathonbet | 8.90 | 4.90 | 1.24 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .