Vushtrria
vs
Gjilani
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gjilani
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Vushtrria vs Gjilani overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vushtrria vs Gjilani
| Probability | Vushtrria | Draw | Gjilani |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.2% | 25.5% | 50.3% |
| Market | 11.3% | 19.3% | 69.3% |
| Final | 14.6% | 20.9% | 64.6% |
| Edge | +12.8% | +6.1% | -19.0% |
Why Gjilani
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.36, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Vushtrria vs Gjilani match preview
Vushtrria faces Gjilani in the Kosovo Superliga with kickoff set for October 10, 2026. The model indicates a 24% probability of a Vushtrria win, while Gjilani has a 50% chance of securing victory, with a draw at 26%. The expected goals for Vushtrria stand at 1.18, compared to Gjilani's 1.77, suggesting a competitive match.
Recent form shows Vushtrria struggling with six games yielding one win, while Gjilani has shown some resilience with two wins and two draws in their last five matches. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring at a 10% probability. Additionally, there is a 57% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vushtrria and Gjilani expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.97
Vushtrria and Gjilani attack and defence ratings
Vushtrria
Gjilani
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vushtrria vs Gjilani markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gjilani | 64.6% | 1.55 | -19.0% | 1.36 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vushtrria | 14.6% |
| Draw | 20.9% | |
| Gjilani | 64.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% |
| No | 41.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 35.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gjilani win | 28.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 49.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 8.2% |
Vushtrria vs Gjilani stats
Vushtrria and Gjilani recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vushtrria and Gjilani season so far
Vushtrria record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Gjilani record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Vushtrria vs Gjilani head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-06-20 | Gjilani | Vushtrria | Superliga | 3-0 |
| 2019-11-07 | Vushtrria | Gjilani | Superliga | 1-3 |
| 2019-09-01 | Gjilani | Vushtrria | Superliga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vushtrria vs Gjilani odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.3%, draw 19.3%, away 69.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.45 | 4.75 | 1.28 |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 4.50 | 1.33 |
| Betano | 7.00 | 4.30 | 1.36 |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
| Dafabet | 7.40 | 4.60 | 1.34 |
| Marathonbet | 8.60 | 4.85 | 1.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .