Gjilani
vs
Drenica Skënderaj
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gjilani
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Gjilani vs Drenica Skënderaj overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gjilani vs Drenica Skënderaj
| Probability | Gjilani | Draw | Drenica Skënderaj |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.7% | 26.7% | 26.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 46.7% | 26.7% | 26.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Gjilani
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Gjilani vs Drenica Skënderaj match preview
Gjilani faces Drenica Skënderaj in the Kosovo Superliga with kickoff scheduled for October 13, 2026. The model indicates a 47% probability of a Gjilani victory, while both a draw and a Drenica Skënderaj win are estimated at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Gjilani, with a 9% probability. The expectation for over 2.5 goals stands at 54%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 57%.
In terms of recent form, Gjilani has recorded a mixed set of results with one win in their last six matches (L-D-W-L-D-W), while Drenica Skënderaj has struggled, winning only once in their last six outings (W-L-L-D-L-D). Historically, Gjilani has won once and lost three times in their last four encounters against Drenica Skënderaj. Expected goals suggest Gjilani at 1.64 and Drenica Skënderaj at 1.19.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gjilani and Drenica Skënderaj expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.84
Gjilani and Drenica Skënderaj attack and defence ratings
Gjilani
Drenica Skënderaj
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gjilani vs Drenica Skënderaj markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gjilani | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gjilani | 46.7% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Drenica Skënderaj | 26.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% |
| No | 42.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gjilani win | 25.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 53.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 8.5% |
Gjilani vs Drenica Skënderaj stats
Gjilani and Drenica Skënderaj recent form
| Gjilani |
LDWLDW |
| Drenica Skënderaj |
WLLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gjilani and Drenica Skënderaj season so far
Gjilani record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Drenica Skënderaj record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Gjilani vs Drenica Skënderaj head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Drenica Skënderaj | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Gjilani | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Drenica Skënderaj | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-25 | Gjilani | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.