Dukagjini
vs
Vushtrria
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dukagjini
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Dukagjini vs Vushtrria overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dukagjini vs Vushtrria
| Probability | Dukagjini | Draw | Vushtrria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.8% | 24.7% | 15.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 59.8% | 24.7% | 15.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dukagjini
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Dukagjini vs Vushtrria match preview
Dukagjini enters this match with a 60% probability of winning, reflecting their recent form of L-D-W-W-D-W. Their expected goals stand at 1.81, suggesting a solid offensive performance, while Vushtrria has a lower expected goals figure of 0.82 and a recent form of L-W-L-L-L-L, indicating struggles in their last matches.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Dukagjini, with a 12% likelihood. There is a near-even chance of both teams scoring, at 48%, and a 49% probability of the match featuring over 2.5 goals. With a confidence grade of C, the match promises to be competitive, but Dukagjini appears to have the upper hand based on the data.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dukagjini and Vushtrria expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.64
Dukagjini and Vushtrria attack and defence ratings
Dukagjini
Vushtrria
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dukagjini vs Vushtrria markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dukagjini | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dukagjini | 59.8% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Vushtrria | 15.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.0% |
| No | 52.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dukagjini win | 35.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 40.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 11.9% |
| 2-0 | 11.8% | |
| 1-1 | 11.8% |
Dukagjini vs Vushtrria stats
Dukagjini and Vushtrria recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dukagjini and Vushtrria season so far
Dukagjini record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Vushtrria record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.