Dukagjini
vs
Vushtrria
1 – 0 Full time
| 10′ | E. Basri |
Dukagjini vs Vushtrria overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dukagjini vs Vushtrria
| Probability | Dukagjini | Draw | Vushtrria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.6% | 29.3% | 18.1% |
| Market | 79.5% | 14.6% | 5.9% |
| Final | 72.8% | 18.3% | 8.9% |
| Edge | -6.7% | +3.7% | +3.1% |
Why Dukagjini
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.57.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dukagjini and Vushtrria expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.24
Dukagjini and Vushtrria attack and defence ratings
Dukagjini
Vushtrria
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dukagjini vs Vushtrria: result vs prediction
Dukagjini 1 – 0 Vushtrria
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dukagjini vs Vushtrria markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dukagjini | 72.8% | 1.37 | -6.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Dukagjini win | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dukagjini | 72.8% |
| Draw | 18.3% | |
| Vushtrria | 8.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.4% |
| No | 58.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dukagjini win | 36.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.7% | |
| Loss | 36.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.9% |
| 1-1 | 13.3% | |
| 0-0 | 12.4% |
Dukagjini vs Vushtrria stats
Dukagjini and Vushtrria recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dukagjini and Vushtrria going into this match
Dukagjini record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Vushtrria record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Dukagjini vs Vushtrria head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-07-22 | Dukagjini | Vushtrria | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2020-03-05 | Vushtrria | Dukagjini | Superliga | 3-3 |
| 2019-10-18 | Dukagjini | Vushtrria | Superliga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dukagjini vs Vushtrria odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 79.5%, draw 14.6%, away 5.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.10 | 6.05 | 19.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 6.25 | 12.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.10 | 5.00 | 11.50 |
| Betano | 1.15 | 5.40 | 18.00 |
| Betfair | 1.11 | 6.50 | 15.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.15 | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.10 | 6.05 | 19.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .