Prishtina
vs
Dukagjini
Garuda Lions Prediction: Prishtina
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Prishtina vs Dukagjini overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Prishtina vs Dukagjini
| Probability | Prishtina | Draw | Dukagjini |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.1% | 25.3% | 17.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 57.1% | 25.3% | 17.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Prishtina
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Prishtina vs Dukagjini match preview
In the upcoming Kosovo Superliga match, Prishtina will host Dukagjini on October 11, 2026. Prishtina enters the match in strong form, having won their last six games, while Dukagjini has a mixed recent record with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last six matches. The model gives Prishtina a 57% chance of winning, with a predicted scoreline of 1-0 being the most likely outcome at 11%.
Statistically, Prishtina is expected to generate 1.78 expected goals compared to Dukagjini's 0.89. Both teams have a 50% probability of scoring, and there is also a 50% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals. In their last four encounters, Prishtina has dominated with three wins and one draw against Dukagjini, who has yet to secure a victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Prishtina and Dukagjini expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.67
Prishtina and Dukagjini attack and defence ratings
Prishtina
Dukagjini
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Prishtina vs Dukagjini markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Prishtina | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.0% | 2.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Prishtina | 57.1% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Dukagjini | 17.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% |
| No | 49.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Prishtina win | 33.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 43.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.2% | |
| 2-0 | 10.9% |
Prishtina vs Dukagjini stats
Prishtina and Dukagjini recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Prishtina and Dukagjini season so far
Prishtina record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Dukagjini record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Prishtina vs Dukagjini head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Prishtina | Dukagjini | Kosovo Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Dukagjini | Prishtina | Kosovo Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Prishtina | Dukagjini | Kosovo Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Dukagjini | Prishtina | Kosovo Superliga | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.