Llapi
vs
Ballkani
0 – 1 Full time
| 60′ | A. Berisha |
Llapi vs Ballkani overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Llapi vs Ballkani
| Probability | Llapi | Draw | Ballkani |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.3% | 25.0% | 45.7% |
| Market | 28.9% | 26.3% | 44.8% |
| Final | 29.0% | 26.0% | 45.0% |
| Edge | +0.4% | -1.4% | +1.0% |
Why Ballkani
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.41.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Llapi and Ballkani expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.21
Llapi and Ballkani attack and defence ratings
Llapi
Ballkani
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Llapi vs Ballkani: result vs prediction
Llapi 0 – 1 Ballkani
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Llapi vs Ballkani markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ballkani | 45.0% | 2.22 | +1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Llapi | 29.0% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Ballkani | 45.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.2% |
| No | 35.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ballkani win | 25.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 54.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 2-1 | 7.2% |
Llapi vs Ballkani stats
Llapi and Ballkani recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Llapi and Ballkani going into this match
Llapi record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Ballkani record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Llapi vs Ballkani head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Ballkani | Llapi | Kosovo Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-09 | Llapi | Ballkani | Kosovo Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Ballkani | Llapi | Kosovo Superliga | 2-4 |
| 2025-09-21 | Llapi | Ballkani | Kosovo Superliga | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-17 | Ballkani | Llapi | Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Llapi | Ballkani | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-14 | Ballkani | Llapi | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-06 | Llapi | Ballkani | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-05-18 | Llapi | Ballkani | Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2024-03-16 | Ballkani | Llapi | Superliga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Llapi vs Ballkani odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.9%, draw 26.3%, away 44.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.23 | 3.40 | 1.98 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.00 | 1.90 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.35 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.45 | 2.07 |
| Marathonbet | 3.15 | 3.40 | 1.96 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .