Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi Prediction — 20 Sep 2026

Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Drenica Skënderaj	Draw	Llapi
Model	34.1%	25.7%	40.2%
Market	36.8%	27.8%	35.4%
Final	36.1%	27.3%	36.6%
Edge	-2.8%	-2.1%	+4.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Llapi

Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
The market prices Llapi below the model: +4.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

95%

2+ goals

83%

3+ goals

61%

No goals

5%

Drenica Skënderaj and Llapi expected goals

Drenica Skënderaj

1.50

Llapi

1.64

Total expected goals: 3.14

Drenica Skënderaj and Llapi attack and defence ratings

Drenica Skënderaj

Attack

0.76 -24%

Defence

1.20 +20%

Llapi

Attack

1.11 +11%

Defence

1.36 +36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi: result vs prediction

Drenica Skënderaj 4 – 0 Llapi

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Kosovo Superliga

Gjilani vs Prishtina — team news & stats · 2026-09-18
Feronikeli vs Vushtrria · 2026-09-19
Malisheva v Ballkani — match page · 2026-09-19
Dukagjini vs Drita · 2026-09-20

Before and after this match

Drenica Skënderaj, previous: Drenica Skënderaj vs Vushtrria: odds and pick
Drenica Skënderaj, next: Drenica Skënderaj v Feronikeli analysis
Llapi, previous: Llapi vs Malisheva: odds and pick
Llapi, next: Llapi vs Ballkani: odds and pick

Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Llapi	36.6%	2.73	+4.8%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	60.7%	1.65	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	63.7%	1.57	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.7%	1.38	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	59.8%	1.67	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Drenica Skënderaj	36.1%
	Draw	27.3%
	Llapi	36.6%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	60.7%
	Under 2.5	39.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	63.7%
	No	36.3%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	63.4%
	12 (either side)	72.7%
	X2 (draw or away)	63.9%
Handicap -1	Llapi win	21.0%
	Push (exactly one goal)	19.2%
	Loss	59.8%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	11.7%
	1-2	8.7%
	2-1	8.0%

Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi stats

Drenica Skënderaj and Llapi recent form

newest first

Drenica Skënderaj	LLDLDD
Llapi	LWLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Drenica Skënderaj and Llapi going into this match

league record before kick-off

Drenica Skënderaj record

They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Llapi record

They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Drenica Skënderaj wins 2Draws 7Llapi wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-12	Llapi	Drenica Skënderaj	Kosovo Superliga	0-1
2026-02-07	Drenica Skënderaj	Llapi	Kosovo Superliga	1-1
2025-10-26	Llapi	Drenica Skënderaj	Kosovo Superliga	4-3
2025-08-17	Drenica Skënderaj	Llapi	Kosovo Superliga	0-0
2025-04-23	Drenica Skënderaj	Llapi	Cup	0-2
2025-04-10	Llapi	Drenica Skënderaj	Cup	2-0
2023-04-09	Llapi	Drenica Skënderaj	Superliga	4-0
2023-02-11	Drenica Skënderaj	Llapi	Superliga	0-1
2022-10-09	Llapi	Drenica Skënderaj	Superliga	3-2
2022-08-14	Drenica Skënderaj	Llapi	Superliga	0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.8%, draw 27.8%, away 35.4%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.59	3.18	2.38
Bet365	2.30	3.20	2.70
BetVictor	2.40	2.88	2.30
Betano	2.40	3.15	2.65
Betfair	2.40	3.30	2.60
Marathonbet	2.59	3.18	2.38
William Hill	2.60	2.90	2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.40 ▲ +0.32

X 3.18 ▼ -0.02

2 2.50 ▼ -0.54

3 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-19T16:10:02Z.

10′			G. Kote
41′			A. Durmishaj
44′			G. Kote
70′			A. Zeka