Kosovo Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Llapi vs Malisheva

0 – 4 Full time

41′V. Isgandarli
57′D. Ibishi
60′L. Talla
84′M. Bushaj
Llapi 31%
Draw 26%
Malisheva 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Llapi vs Malisheva overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Llapi vs Malisheva

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLlapiDrawMalisheva
Model28.2%21.5%50.3%
Market32.5%27.4%40.1%
Final31.4%25.9%42.7%
Edge-4.3%-5.9%+10.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Malisheva

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 1.69.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Malisheva below the model: +10.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Llapi ↓ / Malisheva → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 8% 8% 6% 6% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

Llapi and Malisheva expected goals

Llapi 1.69
Malisheva 2.27

Total expected goals: 3.96

Llapi and Malisheva attack and defence ratings

Llapi

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Malisheva

Attack 1.56 +56%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Llapi vs Malisheva: result vs prediction

Llapi 0 – 4 Malisheva

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Kosovo Superliga

Before and after this match

Llapi vs Malisheva markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Malisheva 42.7% 2.34 +10.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.6% 1.32 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.9% 1.35 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.1% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.7% 2.01 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Llapi31.4%
Draw25.9%
Malisheva42.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.6%
Under 2.524.4%
Both teams to scoreYes73.9%
No26.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.3%
12 (either side)74.1%
X2 (draw or away)68.6%
Handicap -1Malisheva win31.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss49.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.3%
1-18.0%
2-27.0%

Llapi vs Malisheva stats

Llapi and Malisheva recent form

newest first
Llapi WLLLLW
Malisheva LWWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Llapi and Malisheva going into this match

league record before kick-off

Llapi record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Malisheva record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.

Llapi vs Malisheva head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Llapi wins 3Draws 3Malisheva wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-24LlapiMalishevaKosovo Superliga3-2
2026-03-22MalishevaLlapiKosovo Superliga2-0
2026-03-05LlapiMalishevaCup1-1
2025-12-14LlapiMalishevaKosovo Superliga0-0
2025-10-04MalishevaLlapiKosovo Superliga1-2
2025-04-19MalishevaLlapiSuperliga1-3
2025-02-26MalishevaLlapiCup0-1
2025-02-22LlapiMalishevaSuperliga0-0
2024-11-04MalishevaLlapiSuperliga2-1
2024-08-24LlapiMalishevaSuperliga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Llapi vs Malisheva odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.5%, draw 27.4%, away 40.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.85 3.28 2.25
Bet365 2.75 3.25 2.25
BetVictor 2.63 2.90 2.10
Betano 2.75 3.30 2.25
Betfair 2.80 3.30 2.20
Marathonbet 2.79 3.28 2.23

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.