Dukagjini
vs
Malisheva
2 – 0 Full time
| 19′ | M. Pefqeli | ||
| 31′ | D. Isufi |
Dukagjini vs Malisheva overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dukagjini vs Malisheva
| Probability | Dukagjini | Draw | Malisheva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.8% | 24.3% | 52.9% |
| Market | 31.8% | 29.7% | 38.5% |
| Final | 29.6% | 28.3% | 42.1% |
| Edge | -9.0% | -5.4% | +14.4% |
Why Malisheva
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Malisheva below the model: +14.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dukagjini and Malisheva expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.11
Dukagjini and Malisheva attack and defence ratings
Dukagjini
Malisheva
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dukagjini vs Malisheva: result vs prediction
Dukagjini 2 – 0 Malisheva
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dukagjini vs Malisheva markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malisheva | 42.1% | 2.37 | +14.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dukagjini | 29.6% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Malisheva | 42.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% |
| No | 39.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Malisheva win | 31.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 47.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.1% |
Dukagjini vs Malisheva stats
Dukagjini vs Malisheva head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Dukagjini | Malisheva | Kosovo Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Malisheva | Dukagjini | Kosovo Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Dukagjini | Malisheva | Kosovo Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-31 | Malisheva | Dukagjini | Kosovo Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Malisheva | Dukagjini | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-09 | Dukagjini | Malisheva | Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Malisheva | Dukagjini | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Dukagjini | Malisheva | Superliga | 1-3 |
| 2024-04-06 | Malisheva | Dukagjini | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-11 | Dukagjini | Malisheva | Superliga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dukagjini vs Malisheva odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.4%, draw 28.6%, away 37.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.86 | 3.02 | 2.38 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 2.90 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.15 | 2.72 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.36 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.80 | 3.02 | 2.36 |
| Pinnacle | 2.83 | 2.98 | 2.29 |
| Superbet | 2.35 | 3.15 | 2.72 |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .