Kosovo Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Gjilani vs Ballkani

1 – 0 Full time

66′R. Rrahmani
Gjilani 32%
Draw 27%
Ballkani 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Gjilani vs Ballkani overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gjilani vs Ballkani

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGjilaniDrawBallkani
Model37.7%24.7%37.6%
Market29.9%27.9%42.3%
Final31.8%27.1%41.1%
Edge+7.8%-3.1%-4.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gjilani ↓ / Ballkani → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Gjilani and Ballkani expected goals

Gjilani 1.68
Ballkani 1.68

Total expected goals: 3.36

Gjilani and Ballkani attack and defence ratings

Gjilani

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Ballkani

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gjilani vs Ballkani: result vs prediction

Gjilani 1 – 0 Ballkani

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Kosovo Superliga

Before and after this match

Gjilani vs Ballkani markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ballkani 41.1% 2.43 -4.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.3% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.2% 1.49 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.9% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.4% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gjilani31.8%
Draw27.1%
Ballkani41.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.3%
Under 2.534.7%
Both teams to scoreYes67.2%
No32.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.9%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)68.2%
Handicap -1Ballkani win19.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.0%
Loss62.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
2-18.2%
1-28.2%

Gjilani vs Ballkani stats

Gjilani and Ballkani recent form

newest first
Gjilani LDWWWW
Ballkani WWWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gjilani vs Ballkani head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Gjilani wins 5Draws 4Ballkani wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12BallkaniGjilaniKosovo Superliga1-1
2026-03-04BallkaniGjilaniCup2-1
2026-02-08GjilaniBallkaniKosovo Superliga1-2
2025-10-25BallkaniGjilaniKosovo Superliga1-1
2025-08-18GjilaniBallkaniKosovo Superliga1-1
2025-04-17BallkaniGjilaniSuperliga1-0
2025-02-16GjilaniBallkaniSuperliga2-1
2024-10-29BallkaniGjilaniSuperliga3-3
2024-08-19GjilaniBallkaniSuperliga1-1
2024-04-28GjilaniBallkaniSuperliga0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gjilani vs Ballkani odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.9%, draw 27.9%, away 42.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.10 3.35 2.10
1xBet 3.12 3.24 2.12
Bet365 3.25 3.20 2.00
Betano 2.95 3.20 2.18
Betfair 3.10 3.30 2.05
Dafabet 3.05 3.35 2.11
Marathonbet 2.97 3.22 2.15
Pinnacle 2.89 3.23 2.13
Superbet 2.95 3.20 2.17
William Hill 2.90 3.00 2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.01 ▼ -0.19
X 3.23 —
2 2.12 ▲ +0.06

3 snapshots recorded, from .