Feronikeli
vs
Drita
1 – 0 Full time
| 47′ | E. Selmani |
Feronikeli vs Drita overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Feronikeli vs Drita
| Probability | Feronikeli | Draw | Drita |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.4% | 22.2% | 65.5% |
| Market | 11.3% | 20.3% | 68.4% |
| Final | 11.6% | 20.8% | 67.7% |
| Edge | +1.1% | +1.9% | -3.0% |
Why Drita
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Feronikeli and Drita expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.77
Feronikeli and Drita attack and defence ratings
Feronikeli
Drita
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Feronikeli vs Drita: result vs prediction
Feronikeli 1 – 0 Drita
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Feronikeli vs Drita markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drita | 67.7% | 1.48 | -3.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Drita win | 41.4% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Feronikeli | 11.6% |
| Draw | 20.8% | |
| Drita | 67.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.2% |
| No | 52.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 32.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 88.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Drita win | 41.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 34.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 12.6% |
| 0-1 | 11.6% | |
| 1-1 | 10.6% |
Feronikeli vs Drita stats
Feronikeli and Drita recent form
| Feronikeli |
LLLL |
| Drita |
DWDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
Feronikeli vs Drita head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-25 | Drita | Feronikeli | Superliga | 4-1 |
| 2025-04-04 | Feronikeli | Drita | Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2024-12-22 | Drita | Feronikeli | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Feronikeli | Drita | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-05-12 | Drita | Feronikeli | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-03-14 | Feronikeli | Drita | Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2023-12-03 | Drita | Feronikeli | Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2023-09-28 | Feronikeli | Drita | Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2022-04-10 | Feronikeli | Drita | Superliga | 0-5 |
| 2022-02-12 | Drita | Feronikeli | Superliga | 7-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Feronikeli vs Drita odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.3%, draw 20.3%, away 68.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 9.00 | 4.40 | 1.30 |
| 1xBet | 8.80 | 4.45 | 1.31 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 4.50 | 1.33 |
| Betano | 7.00 | 4.45 | 1.35 |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 4.75 | 1.29 |
| Dafabet | 7.60 | 4.50 | 1.34 |
| Marathonbet | 8.40 | 4.45 | 1.30 |
| Superbet | 6.90 | 4.45 | 1.34 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .