Kosovo Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Drenica Skënderaj vs Prishtina

1 – 4 Full time

5′K. Selmani
40′S. Lushtaku
51′D. Halili
57′A. Diatta
86′A. Hasani
Drenica Skënderaj 29%
Draw 28%
Prishtina 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Drenica Skënderaj vs Prishtina overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Drenica Skënderaj vs Prishtina

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDrenica SkënderajDrawPrishtina
Model30.7%29.1%40.2%
Market29.1%28.2%42.7%
Final29.5%28.4%42.1%
Edge+1.6%+1.0%-2.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Prishtina

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Drenica Skënde ↓ / Prishtina → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 10% 7% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Drenica Skënderaj and Prishtina expected goals

Drenica Skënderaj 1.17
Prishtina 1.37

Total expected goals: 2.54

Drenica Skënderaj and Prishtina attack and defence ratings

Drenica Skënderaj

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Prishtina

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Drenica Skënderaj vs Prishtina: result vs prediction

Drenica Skënderaj 1 – 4 Prishtina

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Kosovo Superliga

Before and after this match

Drenica Skënderaj vs Prishtina markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Prishtina 42.1% 2.38 -2.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.4% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.6% 1.90 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.6% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.8% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Drenica Skënderaj29.5%
Draw28.4%
Prishtina42.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.6%
Under 2.553.4%
Both teams to scoreYes52.6%
No47.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.9%
12 (either side)71.6%
X2 (draw or away)70.5%
Handicap -1Prishtina win19.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss59.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-19.6%
0-09.2%

Drenica Skënderaj vs Prishtina stats

Drenica Skënderaj and Prishtina recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Drenica Skënderaj vs Prishtina head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Drenica Skënderaj wins 3Draws 4Prishtina wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-31PrishtinaDrenica SkënderajKosovo Superliga1-2
2026-04-05Drenica SkënderajPrishtinaKosovo Superliga2-2
2025-12-20PrishtinaDrenica SkënderajKosovo Superliga2-1
2025-10-19Drenica SkënderajPrishtinaKosovo Superliga3-4
2023-05-20PrishtinaDrenica SkënderajSuperliga4-1
2023-03-18Drenica SkënderajPrishtinaSuperliga0-1
2022-11-12PrishtinaDrenica SkënderajSuperliga0-1
2022-09-18Drenica SkënderajPrishtinaSuperliga2-1
2022-04-24PrishtinaDrenica SkënderajSuperliga1-1
2022-02-24Drenica SkënderajPrishtinaSuperliga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Drenica Skënderaj vs Prishtina odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.1%, draw 28.2%, away 42.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.10 3.20 2.15
1xBet 3.16 3.20 2.11
Bet365 3.20 3.20 2.05
BetVictor 2.88 2.88 2.00
Betano 2.92 3.20 2.20
Betfair 3.10 3.25 2.10
Dafabet 2.95 3.25 2.19
Marathonbet 3.10 3.20 2.09
Superbet 2.92 3.25 2.20

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.