Garuda Lions
Today
Kosovo Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 4

Prishtina vs Vushtrria

1 – 0 Full time

61′A. Krasniqi
Prishtina 72%
Draw 17%
Vushtrria 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Prishtina vs Vushtrria overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Prishtina vs Vushtrria

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPrishtinaDrawVushtrria
Model71.8%16.9%11.3%
Market———
Final71.8%16.9%11.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Prishtina

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.68 vs 1.02.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Prishtina ↓ / Vushtrria → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 7% 2 9% 9% 3 8% 8% 4+ 10% 10% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

Prishtina and Vushtrria expected goals

Prishtina 2.68
Vushtrria 1.02

Total expected goals: 3.70

Prishtina and Vushtrria attack and defence ratings

Prishtina

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Vushtrria

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.41 +41%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Prishtina vs Vushtrria: result vs prediction

Prishtina 1 – 0 Vushtrria

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Kosovo Superliga

Before and after this match

Prishtina vs Vushtrria markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Prishtina 71.8% 1.39 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.5% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.4% 1.66 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.7% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Prishtina win 51.5% 1.94 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Prishtina71.8%
Draw16.9%
Vushtrria11.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.5%
Under 2.528.5%
Both teams to scoreYes60.4%
No39.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.7%
12 (either side)83.1%
X2 (draw or away)28.2%
Handicap -1Prishtina win51.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss28.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.1%
2-08.8%
3-18.1%

Prishtina vs Vushtrria stats

Prishtina and Vushtrria recent form

newest first
Prishtina WWLWDL
Vushtrria LLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Prishtina vs Vushtrria head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

6Prishtina wins 0Draws 0Vushtrria wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-04-19PrishtinaVushtrriaCup6-0
2023-04-05VushtrriaPrishtinaCup1-2
2020-06-13VushtrriaPrishtinaSuperliga0-2
2020-02-15PrishtinaVushtrriaSuperliga4-0
2020-02-08PrishtinaVushtrriaCup4-1
2019-09-29VushtrriaPrishtinaSuperliga0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Prishtina vs Vushtrria odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.