Kosovo Superliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 3
Vushtrria
vs
Drita
0 – 1 Full time
Vushtrria
15%
Draw
16%
Drita
69%
Vushtrria vs Drita overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vushtrria vs Drita
| Probability | Vushtrria | Draw | Drita |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.8% | 16.0% | 69.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 14.8% | 16.0% | 69.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Drita
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.74 vs 1.32.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
92%
3+ goals
77%
No goals
2%
Vushtrria and Drita expected goals
Vushtrria
1.32
Drita
2.74
Total expected goals: 4.06
Vushtrria and Drita attack and defence ratings
Vushtrria
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.53 +53%
Drita
Attack
1.44 +44%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vushtrria vs Drita: result vs prediction
Vushtrria 0 – 1 Drita
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vushtrria vs Drita markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drita | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Drita win | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vushtrria | 14.8% |
| Draw | 16.0% | |
| Drita | 69.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.3% |
| No | 26.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 30.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Drita win | 47.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 33.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-3 | 7.6% |
| 1-2 | 7.5% | |
| 1-4 | 5.8% |