Kosovo Superliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Ballkani
vs
Vushtrria
2 – 1 Full time
Ballkani
78%
Draw
14%
Vushtrria
9%
Ballkani vs Vushtrria overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ballkani vs Vushtrria
| Probability | Ballkani | Draw | Vushtrria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.2% | 19.0% | 19.8% |
| Market | 83.1% | 11.8% | 5.1% |
| Final | 77.6% | 13.6% | 8.8% |
| Edge | -21.9% | +7.2% | +14.7% |
Why Ballkani
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.63 vs 1.49.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
92%
3+ goals
78%
No goals
2%
Ballkani and Vushtrria expected goals
Ballkani
2.63
Vushtrria
1.49
Total expected goals: 4.12
Ballkani and Vushtrria attack and defence ratings
Ballkani
Attack
1.12 +12%
Defence
1.27 +27%
Vushtrria
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
1.57 +57%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ballkani vs Vushtrria: result vs prediction
Ballkani 2 – 1 Vushtrria
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ballkani vs Vushtrria markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ballkani | 77.6% | 1.29 | -21.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Ballkani win | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ballkani | 77.6% |
| Draw | 13.6% | |
| Vushtrria | 8.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.6% |
| No | 27.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 22.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ballkani win | 41.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 38.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.4% |
| 3-1 | 7.3% | |
| 1-1 | 7.0% |
Ballkani vs Vushtrria stats
Ballkani vs Vushtrria head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Ballkani vs Vushtrria odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 83.1%, draw 11.8%, away 5.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.06 | 7.70 | 26.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.10 | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.05 | 5.50 | 15.00 |
| Betano | 1.10 | 7.10 | 16.00 |
| Betfair | 1.06 | 9.50 | 26.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.10 | 7.40 | 18.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.06 | 7.70 | 26.00 |
| Superbet | 1.09 | 7.70 | 15.00 |