Llapi
vs
Gjilani
0 – 2 Full time
Llapi vs Gjilani overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Llapi vs Gjilani
| Probability | Llapi | Draw | Gjilani |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.6% | 23.4% | 30.0% |
| Market | 37.3% | 27.9% | 34.8% |
| Final | 39.6% | 26.7% | 33.6% |
| Edge | +9.2% | -4.4% | -4.8% |
Why Llapi
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.58.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Llapi below the model: +9.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Llapi and Gjilani expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.56
Llapi and Gjilani attack and defence ratings
Llapi
Gjilani
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Llapi vs Gjilani: result vs prediction
Llapi 0 – 2 Gjilani
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Llapi vs Gjilani markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Llapi | 39.6% | 2.52 | +9.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.3% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Llapi | 39.6% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Gjilani | 33.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.3% |
| No | 30.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Llapi win | 27.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 53.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.0% |
Llapi vs Gjilani stats
Llapi vs Gjilani head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Gjilani | Llapi | Kosovo Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-18 | Llapi | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga | 2-3 |
| 2025-12-07 | Gjilani | Llapi | Kosovo Superliga | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Llapi | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Llapi vs Gjilani odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.3%, draw 27.9%, away 34.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| 1xBet | 2.43 | 3.16 | 2.60 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.41 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.43 | 3.16 | 2.60 |
| Superbet | 2.42 | 3.25 | 2.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .