Kosovo Superliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Dukagjini
vs
Feronikeli
1 – 0 Full time
Dukagjini
42%
Draw
29%
Feronikeli
29%
Dukagjini vs Feronikeli overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dukagjini vs Feronikeli
| Probability | Dukagjini | Draw | Feronikeli |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.3% | 28.9% | 28.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.3% | 28.9% | 28.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dukagjini
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Dukagjini and Feronikeli expected goals
Dukagjini
1.41
Feronikeli
1.12
Total expected goals: 2.54
Dukagjini and Feronikeli attack and defence ratings
Dukagjini
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Feronikeli
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
1.20 +20%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dukagjini vs Feronikeli: result vs prediction
Dukagjini 1 – 0 Feronikeli
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dukagjini vs Feronikeli markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dukagjini | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dukagjini | 42.3% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Feronikeli | 28.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% |
| No | 47.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dukagjini win | 20.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 57.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 9.9% | |
| 0-0 | 9.1% |
Dukagjini vs Feronikeli stats
Dukagjini and Feronikeli recent form
| Dukagjini |
DLLWWW |
| Feronikeli |
L |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.