Kosovo Superliga Β· Β·Matchday 2

Drita vs Prishtina

Garuda Lions Prediction: Drita

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.87.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Drita 49%
Draw 30%
Prishtina 22%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Drita wins
49%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
89%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
45%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
13% of simulated outcomes

Drita vs Prishtina overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Drita vs Prishtina

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDritaDrawPrishtina
Model48.7%29.6%21.7%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final48.7%29.6%21.7%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Drita

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.87.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Drita vs Prishtina match preview

Drita faces Prishtina in the Kosovo Superliga, with Drita holding a 49% probability of winning according to our model, while a draw stands at 30% and Prishtina at 22%. The expected goals for Drita are 1.42 compared to Prishtina's 0.87, suggesting a potential edge for Drita. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, occurring at a rate of 13%.

In terms of recent form, Drita has recorded three wins, one loss, and one draw in their last five matches, while Prishtina has two wins, two draws, and one loss. The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters shows Drita with four wins, four draws, and Prishtina with two wins. The model indicates a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance for both teams to score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Drita ↓ / Prishtina β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 8% 1 13% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 11%

Drita and Prishtina expected goals

Drita 1.42
Prishtina 0.87

Total expected goals: 2.29

Drita and Prishtina attack and defence ratings

Drita

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.61 -39%

Prishtina

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Kosovo Superliga

Before and after this match

Drita vs Prishtina markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Drita 48.7% 2.05 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.9% 1.67 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 54.8% 1.83 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.3% 1.28 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 51.3% 1.95 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Drita48.7%
Draw29.6%
Prishtina21.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.1%
Under 2.559.9%
Both teams to scoreYes45.2%
No54.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.3%
12 (either side)70.4%
X2 (draw or away)51.3%
Handicap -1Drita win24.6%
Push (exactly one goal)24.1%
Loss51.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
1-013.2%
0-011.4%

Drita vs Prishtina stats

Drita and Prishtina recent form

newest first
Drita WWWLWD
Prishtina LWDDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Drita and Prishtina season so far

league record

Drita record

  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.

Prishtina record

  • They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

Drita vs Prishtina head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Drita wins 4Draws 2Prishtina wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-10-25PrishtinaDritaKosovo Superliga0-3
2026-04-29DritaPrishtinaKosovo Superliga1-0
2026-03-01PrishtinaDritaKosovo Superliga1-1
2025-12-24DritaPrishtinaKosovo Superliga2-0
2025-09-14PrishtinaDritaKosovo Superliga2-2
2025-04-23PrishtinaDritaCup3-0
2025-04-17DritaPrishtinaSuperliga2-0
2025-04-09DritaPrishtinaCup0-1
2025-02-15PrishtinaDritaSuperliga3-3
2024-11-06PrishtinaDritaSuperliga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Drita vs Prishtina odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Drita Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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