Drita
vs
Vushtrria
Garuda Lions Prediction: Drita
2 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 0.44.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Drita vs Vushtrria overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Drita vs Vushtrria
| Probability | Drita | Draw | Vushtrria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 78.7% | 16.4% | 4.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 78.7% | 16.4% | 4.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Drita
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 0.44.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Drita vs Vushtrria match preview
Drita enters the match against Vushtrria with a strong probability of winning at 79%, reflecting their recent form, which includes three wins in their last five matches. The expected goals for Drita stand at 2.28, while Vushtrria's expected goals are significantly lower at 0.44, indicating a potential disparity in offensive capabilities. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, occurring with a 17% likelihood.
Vushtrria has struggled recently, with a record of six matches resulting in five losses and only one win. Their chances of scoring are reflected in the model's projection that both teams to score is at 32%. The head-to-head record also favors Drita, who won the last encounter without conceding. Overall, the model suggests a dominant performance from Drita in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Drita and Vushtrria expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.71
Drita and Vushtrria attack and defence ratings
Drita
Vushtrria
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Drita vs Vushtrria markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drita | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Drita win | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drita | 78.7% |
| Draw | 16.4% | |
| Vushtrria | 4.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.3% |
| No | 67.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 95.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 21.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Drita win | 55.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 21.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 17.2% |
| 1-0 | 14.5% | |
| 3-0 | 13.1% |
Drita vs Vushtrria stats
Drita and Vushtrria recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Drita and Vushtrria season so far
Drita record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Vushtrria record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
Drita vs Vushtrria head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Vushtrria | Drita | Kosovo Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2020-06-24 | Vushtrria | Drita | Superliga | 0-4 |
| 2020-02-21 | Vushtrria | Drita | Superliga | 2-3 |
| 2019-10-03 | Drita | Vushtrria | Superliga | 5-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.