Kosovo Superliga Β· Β·Matchday 11

Prishtina vs Drita

Garuda Lions Prediction: Prishtina

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 14% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.88.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Prishtina 42%
Draw 32%
Drita 26%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Prishtina wins
42%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
86%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
43%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
14% of simulated outcomes

Prishtina vs Drita overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Prishtina vs Drita

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPrishtinaDrawDrita
Model42.4%32.1%25.5%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final42.4%32.1%25.5%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Prishtina

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.88.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Prishtina vs Drita match preview

In the upcoming Kosovo Superliga match, Prishtina faces Drita with a projected probability of 42% for a Prishtina win, 32% for a draw, and 26% for a Drita victory. The most likely scoreline according to the model is 1-0, with a 14% likelihood. Expected goals for Prishtina are 1.21, while Drita is at 0.88.

Recent form shows Prishtina is on a positive streak with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, while Drita has a mixed record of two wins, one loss, one draw, and another loss in their last five games. In their last four head-to-head encounters, Prishtina has not secured a win, recording two draws and two losses against Drita. The confidence grade for this match is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Prishtina ↓ / Drita β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 10% 1 14% 14% 2 9% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

Prishtina and Drita expected goals

Prishtina 1.21
Drita 0.88

Total expected goals: 2.10

Prishtina and Drita attack and defence ratings

Prishtina

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Drita

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Kosovo Superliga

Before and after this match

Prishtina vs Drita markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Prishtina 42.4% 2.36 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.0% 1.54 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 57.4% 1.74 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.5% 1.34 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 57.6% 1.74 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Prishtina42.4%
Draw32.1%
Drita25.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.0%
Under 2.565.0%
Both teams to scoreYes42.6%
No57.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.5%
12 (either side)67.9%
X2 (draw or away)57.6%
Handicap -1Prishtina win19.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss57.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-013.6%
1-013.6%

Prishtina vs Drita stats

Prishtina and Drita recent form

newest first
Prishtina WDDWWW
Drita WWLWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Prishtina and Drita season so far

league record

Prishtina record

  • They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

Drita record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

Prishtina vs Drita head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Prishtina wins 2Draws 2Drita wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-29DritaPrishtinaKosovo Superliga1-0
2026-03-01PrishtinaDritaKosovo Superliga1-1
2025-12-24DritaPrishtinaKosovo Superliga2-0
2025-09-14PrishtinaDritaKosovo Superliga2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Prishtina vs Drita odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Prishtina Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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