Feronikeli
vs
Dukagjini
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dukagjini
0 – 1 Predicted score · 17% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.07 vs 0.72.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Feronikeli vs Dukagjini overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Feronikeli vs Dukagjini
| Probability | Feronikeli | Draw | Dukagjini |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.2% | 34.8% | 42.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.2% | 34.8% | 42.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dukagjini
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.07 vs 0.72.
Feronikeli vs Dukagjini match preview
Feronikeli faces Dukagjini in the Kosovo Superliga, with kickoff scheduled for October 25, 2026. According to our model, Feronikeli has a 23% chance of winning, while Dukagjini is favored at 42%, and a draw stands at 35%. The expected goals for Feronikeli is 0.72, compared to Dukagjini's 1.07, suggesting a tighter contest. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a 17% probability.
In terms of recent form, Feronikeli has recorded results of L-D-D-W-L-W, while Dukagjini's latest matches show D-W-D-L-D-W. The head-to-head record indicates that in their last encounter, Dukagjini secured a win against Feronikeli, who has yet to achieve a victory in this matchup. Both teams have a 35% chance of scoring, with the likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 27%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Feronikeli and Dukagjini expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.79
Feronikeli and Dukagjini attack and defence ratings
Feronikeli
Dukagjini
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Feronikeli vs Dukagjini markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dukagjini | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Feronikeli | 23.2% |
| Draw | 34.8% | |
| Dukagjini | 42.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.1% |
| No | 64.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dukagjini win | 17.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 58.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.9% |
| 0-1 | 16.5% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Feronikeli vs Dukagjini stats
Feronikeli and Dukagjini recent form
| Feronikeli |
LDDWLW |
| Dukagjini |
DWDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Feronikeli and Dukagjini season so far
Feronikeli record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
Dukagjini record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Feronikeli vs Dukagjini head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Dukagjini | Feronikeli | Kosovo Superliga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.