Drenica Skënderaj
vs
Malisheva
Garuda Lions Prediction: Malisheva
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.19.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Malisheva overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Drenica Skënderaj vs Malisheva
| Probability | Drenica Skënderaj | Draw | Malisheva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.8% | 24.5% | 52.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.8% | 24.5% | 52.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Malisheva
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Malisheva match preview
Drenica Skënderaj faces Malisheva in the Kosovo Superliga, with the model suggesting a 23% chance of a home win, a 24% probability of a draw, and a 53% likelihood of an away victory. The expected goals indicate Drenica Skënderaj at 1.19 and Malisheva at 1.89, which aligns with the model's most likely scoreline of 1-2, occurring at a 10% frequency.
Recent form shows Drenica Skënderaj with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five matches, while Malisheva has achieved three wins, one draw, and one loss in the same period. The model suggests a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance that both teams will score, indicating an expectation of an engaging match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Drenica Skënderaj and Malisheva expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.08
Drenica Skënderaj and Malisheva attack and defence ratings
Drenica Skënderaj
Malisheva
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Drenica Skënderaj vs Malisheva markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malisheva | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.3% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drenica Skënderaj | 22.8% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Malisheva | 52.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% |
| No | 39.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Malisheva win | 30.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 47.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.2% |
Drenica Skënderaj vs Malisheva stats
Drenica Skënderaj and Malisheva recent form
| Drenica Skënderaj |
DLDWWL |
| Malisheva |
WDWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Drenica Skënderaj and Malisheva season so far
Drenica Skënderaj record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Malisheva record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Malisheva head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Malisheva | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Malisheva | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga | 4-1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Drenica Skënderaj | Malisheva | Kosovo Superliga | 4-2 |
| 2025-12-06 | Malisheva | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Drenica Skënderaj | Malisheva | Kosovo Superliga | 3-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.