Malisheva
vs
Vushtrria
Garuda Lions Prediction: Malisheva
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Malisheva vs Vushtrria overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Malisheva vs Vushtrria
| Probability | Malisheva | Draw | Vushtrria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 84.2% | 11.7% | 4.1% |
| Market | 80.2% | 14.0% | 5.8% |
| Final | 81.2% | 13.4% | 5.4% |
| Edge | +4.0% | -2.3% | -1.7% |
Why Malisheva
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.91 vs 0.56.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Malisheva below the model: +4.0 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.17, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Malisheva vs Vushtrria match preview
Malisheva enters the match against Vushtrria with a strong probability of winning at 79%, while Vushtrria stands at just 7%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, with a 10% likelihood. Malisheva has shown solid recent form, winning four of their last six matches, while Vushtrria has struggled, losing four of their last six.
In terms of expected goals, Malisheva is forecasted to score 2.86, compared to Vushtrria's 0.81. The model suggests a high chance of over 2.5 goals at 71% and indicates a 53% likelihood that both teams will score. In their last head-to-head encounter, Malisheva secured a victory with a record of 1 win against Vushtrria's 0.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Malisheva and Vushtrria expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.46
Malisheva and Vushtrria attack and defence ratings
Malisheva
Vushtrria
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Malisheva vs Vushtrria markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malisheva | 81.2% | 1.23 | +4.0% | 1.17 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Malisheva win | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malisheva | 81.2% |
| Draw | 13.4% | |
| Vushtrria | 5.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.0% |
| No | 59.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 18.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Malisheva win | 66.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 15.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.2% |
| 3-0 | 12.8% | |
| 4-0 | 9.3% |
Malisheva vs Vushtrria stats
Malisheva and Vushtrria recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Malisheva and Vushtrria season so far
Malisheva record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Vushtrria record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
Malisheva vs Vushtrria head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Vushtrria | Malisheva | Kosovo Superliga | 1-6 |
| 2022-05-28 | Vushtrria | Malisheva | Superliga | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Malisheva vs Vushtrria odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 80.2%, draw 14.0%, away 5.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.10 | 6.30 | 18.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 6.50 | 12.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.08 | 5.25 | 11.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.10 | 6.30 | 18.50 |