Llapi
vs
Drita
1 – 2 Full time
| 47′ | V. Limaj | ||
| 50′ | L. Balaj | ||
| 78′ | A. Aliu |
Llapi vs Drita overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Llapi vs Drita
| Probability | Llapi | Draw | Drita |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.8% | 27.6% | 54.6% |
| Market | 25.7% | 26.9% | 47.5% |
| Final | 23.7% | 27.0% | 49.3% |
| Edge | -7.9% | +0.8% | +7.1% |
Why Drita
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Drita below the model: +7.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Llapi and Drita expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.37
Llapi and Drita attack and defence ratings
Llapi
Drita
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Llapi vs Drita: result vs prediction
Llapi 1 – 2 Drita
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Llapi vs Drita markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drita | 49.3% | 2.03 | +7.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Llapi | 23.7% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Drita | 49.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.8% |
| No | 55.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Drita win | 29.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 45.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-1 | 12.9% | |
| 0-2 | 11.5% |
Llapi vs Drita stats
Llapi and Drita recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Llapi and Drita going into this match
Llapi record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 9 matches.
Drita record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Llapi vs Drita head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Drita | Llapi | Kosovo Superliga | 5-3 |
| 2026-04-26 | Drita | Llapi | Kosovo Superliga | 3-0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Llapi | Drita | Kosovo Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-10 | Drita | Llapi | Cup | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-02 | Drita | Llapi | Kosovo Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-01 | Llapi | Drita | Kosovo Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Drita | Llapi | Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Llapi | Drita | Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-25 | Drita | Llapi | Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Llapi | Drita | Superliga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Llapi vs Drita odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.7%, draw 26.9%, away 47.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.55 | 3.35 | 1.89 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.91 |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 3.46 | 3.35 | 1.87 |