Kosovo Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Feronikeli vs Llapi

0 – 0 Full time

36′Feronikeli
Feronikeli 44%
Draw 26%
Llapi 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Feronikeli vs Llapi overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Feronikeli vs Llapi

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFeronikeliDrawLlapi
Model45.4%25.0%29.6%
Market43.5%26.9%29.5%
Final44.0%26.5%29.5%
Edge+0.5%-0.5%+0.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Feronikeli

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.42.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Feronikeli ↓ / Llapi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Feronikeli and Llapi expected goals

Feronikeli 1.80
Llapi 1.42

Total expected goals: 3.22

Feronikeli and Llapi attack and defence ratings

Feronikeli

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Llapi

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.44 +44%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Feronikeli vs Llapi: result vs prediction

Feronikeli 0 – 0 Llapi

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Kosovo Superliga

Before and after this match

Feronikeli vs Llapi markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Feronikeli 44.0% 2.27 +0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.4% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.3% 1.55 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.5% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.6% 1.83 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Feronikeli44.0%
Draw26.5%
Llapi29.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.4%
Under 2.537.6%
Both teams to scoreYes64.3%
No35.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.5%
12 (either side)73.5%
X2 (draw or away)56.0%
Handicap -1Feronikeli win25.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss54.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
2-19.2%
1-27.3%

Feronikeli vs Llapi stats

Feronikeli and Llapi recent form

newest first
Feronikeli DWLWLL
Llapi LLLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Feronikeli and Llapi going into this match

league record before kick-off

Feronikeli record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

Llapi record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.

Feronikeli vs Llapi head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Feronikeli wins 1Draws 9Llapi wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-04-16LlapiFeronikeliSuperliga1-0
2025-02-16FeronikeliLlapiSuperliga0-3
2024-10-30LlapiFeronikeliSuperliga2-2
2024-08-18FeronikeliLlapiSuperliga0-2
2024-05-05LlapiFeronikeliSuperliga3-2
2024-03-02FeronikeliLlapiSuperliga0-1
2023-11-11LlapiFeronikeliSuperliga1-0
2023-09-16FeronikeliLlapiSuperliga0-3
2022-04-23FeronikeliLlapiSuperliga0-2
2022-02-23LlapiFeronikeliSuperliga4-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Feronikeli vs Llapi odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.5%, draw 26.9%, away 29.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.05 3.32 3.12
Bet365 2.05 3.30 3.00
Betano 2.22 3.25 2.85
Betfair 2.00 3.30 3.25
Dafabet 2.22 3.35 2.85
Marathonbet 2.03 3.32 3.04

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▼ -0.03
X 3.31 ▲ +0.01
2 3.02 ▲ +0.01

2 snapshots recorded, from .