Feronikeli
vs
Llapi
Garuda Lions Prediction: Feronikeli
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Feronikeli vs Llapi overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Feronikeli vs Llapi
| Probability | Feronikeli | Draw | Llapi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.9% | 26.3% | 31.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.9% | 26.3% | 31.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Feronikeli
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Feronikeli vs Llapi match preview
Feronikeli and Llapi are set to clash in the Kosovo Superliga, with kickoff scheduled for October 14, 2026. According to our model, Feronikeli has a 42% probability of winning, while Llapi stands at 32%, and a draw is estimated at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Feronikeli, occurring with a 9% probability. Expected goals suggest Feronikeli will score 1.73 and Llapi 1.50, indicating a competitive match.
Both teams have struggled recently, with Feronikeli's form showing W-L-W-L-L-L and Llapi's at L-L-W-L-L-L. Our model indicates a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% likelihood that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Feronikeli and Llapi expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.01
Feronikeli and Llapi attack and defence ratings
Feronikeli
Llapi
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Feronikeli vs Llapi markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Feronikeli | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Feronikeli | 41.9% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Llapi | 31.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Feronikeli win | 21.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 58.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
Feronikeli vs Llapi stats
Feronikeli and Llapi recent form
| Feronikeli |
WLWLLL |
| Llapi |
LLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Feronikeli and Llapi season so far
Feronikeli record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Llapi record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.