Gjilani
vs
Feronikeli
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gjilani
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Gjilani vs Feronikeli overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gjilani vs Feronikeli
| Probability | Gjilani | Draw | Feronikeli |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.3% | 26.5% | 17.2% |
| Market | 61.3% | 23.3% | 15.4% |
| Final | 60.0% | 24.1% | 15.9% |
| Edge | -5.0% | +3.2% | +1.8% |
Why Gjilani
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.82.
Best available price on the pick: 1.50, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Gjilani vs Feronikeli match preview
Gjilani faces Feronikeli in their upcoming Kosovo Superliga match on October 18, 2026. According to our model, Gjilani holds a 56% probability of winning, while a draw is at 26% and Feronikeli at 17%. The expected goals for Gjilani stand at 1.67, compared to Feronikeli's 0.82, indicating a potential advantage for Gjilani. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, occurring with a 13% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Gjilani has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last six matches. Feronikeli's form shows slightly better consistency with two wins, two losses, and two draws in their recent outings. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45%, while both teams scoring is projected at 47%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gjilani and Feronikeli expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.49
Gjilani and Feronikeli attack and defence ratings
Gjilani
Feronikeli
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gjilani vs Feronikeli markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gjilani | 60.0% | 1.67 | -5.0% | 1.50 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gjilani | 60.0% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| Feronikeli | 15.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.6% |
| No | 53.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gjilani win | 31.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.6% | |
| Loss | 43.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 12.7% |
| 1-1 | 12.5% | |
| 2-0 | 11.5% |
Gjilani vs Feronikeli stats
Gjilani and Feronikeli recent form
| Gjilani |
WLLDWL |
| Feronikeli |
DDWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gjilani and Feronikeli season so far
Gjilani record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Feronikeli record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
Gjilani vs Feronikeli head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Feronikeli | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga | 1-3 |
| 2025-05-02 | Feronikeli | Gjilani | Superliga | 2-3 |
| 2025-03-09 | Gjilani | Feronikeli | Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Feronikeli | Gjilani | Superliga | 0-3 |
| 2024-09-16 | Gjilani | Feronikeli | Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2024-04-20 | Gjilani | Feronikeli | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-21 | Feronikeli | Gjilani | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2023-11-01 | Gjilani | Feronikeli | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-26 | Feronikeli | Gjilani | Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2022-04-16 | Gjilani | Feronikeli | Superliga | 5-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gjilani vs Feronikeli odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.3%, draw 23.3%, away 15.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.46 | 3.84 | 6.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.45 | 3.84 | 5.80 |