Gjilani
vs
Llapi
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gjilani
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 0.77.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Gjilani is the favourite, not a value bet.
Gjilani vs Llapi overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gjilani vs Llapi
| Probability | Gjilani | Draw | Llapi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.9% | 21.9% | 12.2% |
| Market | 65.1% | 21.5% | 13.4% |
| Final | 65.3% | 21.6% | 13.1% |
| Edge | +0.2% | +0.1% | -0.3% |
Why Gjilani
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.44, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.9% per unit staked (our 65.3% × 1.44 − 1).
Gjilani vs Llapi match preview
Gjilani enters the match against Llapi with a strong probability of winning at 66%, reflecting their recent form of two wins followed by a loss, a draw, and another win. Their expected goals stand at 2.03, indicating a solid offensive capability, while Llapi's expected goals are significantly lower at 0.77, suggesting challenges in their attack. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring with a 13% probability.
Llapi's recent performance has been concerning, with five matches yielding only one win, and they currently sit with a 12% chance of victory in this matchup. The head-to-head record shows Gjilani with five wins against Llapi's three in their last ten encounters, further supporting Gjilani's favorable position. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals are at 53%, and both teams to score sits at 47%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gjilani and Llapi expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
Gjilani and Llapi attack and defence ratings
Gjilani
Llapi
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gjilani vs Llapi markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gjilani | 65.3% | 1.53 | +0.2% | 1.44 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Gjilani win | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gjilani | 65.3% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| Llapi | 13.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.4% |
| No | 52.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gjilani win | 42.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 34.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.6% |
| 1-0 | 11.4% | |
| 1-1 | 10.4% |
Gjilani vs Llapi stats
Gjilani and Llapi recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gjilani and Llapi season so far
Gjilani record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Llapi record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
Gjilani vs Llapi head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Llapi | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gjilani | Llapi | Kosovo Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-18 | Llapi | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga | 2-3 |
| 2025-12-07 | Gjilani | Llapi | Kosovo Superliga | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Llapi | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga | 4-1 |
| 2025-04-13 | Gjilani | Llapi | Superliga | 2-3 |
| 2025-02-08 | Llapi | Gjilani | Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2024-10-26 | Gjilani | Llapi | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-10 | Llapi | Gjilani | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-05-09 | Gjilani | Llapi | Superliga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gjilani vs Llapi odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.1%, draw 21.5%, away 13.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.36 | 4.25 | 7.23 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.00 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 3.95 | 6.20 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.41 | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 4.25 | 6.85 |