Dukagjini
vs
Gjilani
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gjilani
0 – 1 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Dukagjini vs Gjilani overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dukagjini vs Gjilani
| Probability | Dukagjini | Draw | Gjilani |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.8% | 33.9% | 40.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 25.8% | 33.9% | 40.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Gjilani
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Dukagjini vs Gjilani match preview
Dukagjini faces Gjilani in the Kosovo Superliga, with the model indicating a 26% chance of a Dukagjini victory, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 40% probability of a Gjilani win. The expected goals for Dukagjini stand at 0.82, while Gjilani has a higher expectation of 1.09. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 15%.
Recent form shows Dukagjini with a record of L-D-W-D-L-D, while Gjilani has performed slightly better with D-W-W-L-L-D. In their last ten encounters, Dukagjini has secured 5 wins, Gjilani has 1 win, and there have been 4 draws. The model suggests a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dukagjini and Gjilani expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.91
Dukagjini and Gjilani attack and defence ratings
Dukagjini
Gjilani
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dukagjini vs Gjilani markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gjilani | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.5% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dukagjini | 25.8% |
| Draw | 33.9% | |
| Gjilani | 40.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.5% |
| No | 61.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gjilani win | 17.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 59.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.1% |
| 0-1 | 14.8% | |
| 1-1 | 14.6% |
Dukagjini vs Gjilani stats
Dukagjini and Gjilani recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dukagjini and Gjilani season so far
Dukagjini record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Gjilani record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Dukagjini vs Gjilani head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Gjilani | Dukagjini | Kosovo Superliga | 2-2 |
| 2026-04-19 | Gjilani | Dukagjini | Kosovo Superliga | 2-3 |
| 2026-02-15 | Dukagjini | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-28 | Gjilani | Dukagjini | Kosovo Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-24 | Dukagjini | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-21 | Gjilani | Dukagjini | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-23 | Dukagjini | Gjilani | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Gjilani | Dukagjini | Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-25 | Dukagjini | Gjilani | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-25 | Dukagjini | Gjilani | Superliga | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.