Kosovo Superliga Β· Β·Matchday 12

Llapi vs Prishtina

Garuda Lions Prediction: Prishtina

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.04.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Llapi 19%
Draw 24%
Prishtina 57%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Prishtina wins
57%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
56%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
10% of simulated outcomes

Llapi vs Prishtina overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Llapi vs Prishtina

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLlapiDrawPrishtina
Model19.3%24.2%56.5%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final19.3%24.2%56.5%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Prishtina

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.04.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Llapi vs Prishtina match preview

Llapi faces Prishtina in the Kosovo Superliga with a kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Prishtina holds a significant advantage with a 57% probability of winning, compared to Llapi's 19%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, with an expected goals tally of 1.04 for Llapi and 1.91 for Prishtina. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with a 56% probability for both teams to find the net and a 57% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match.

Recent form indicates a struggle for Llapi, who have recorded five winless matches, while Prishtina has shown resilience with two wins in their last three outings. In their last five encounters, Prishtina has triumphed three times, while Llapi has secured one victory and the teams have drawn once. The confidence grade for this matchup stands at C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Llapi ↓ / Prishtina β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 9% 10% 6% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Llapi and Prishtina expected goals

Llapi 1.04
Prishtina 1.91

Total expected goals: 2.95

Llapi and Prishtina attack and defence ratings

Llapi

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Prishtina

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Kosovo Superliga

Before and after this match

Llapi vs Prishtina markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Prishtina 56.5% 1.77 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.5% 1.77 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 56.1% 1.78 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 80.7% 1.24 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 43.5% 2.30 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Llapi19.3%
Draw24.2%
Prishtina56.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.5%
Under 2.543.5%
Both teams to scoreYes56.1%
No43.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.5%
12 (either side)75.8%
X2 (draw or away)80.7%
Handicap -1Prishtina win33.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss43.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
1-29.9%
0-29.5%

Llapi vs Prishtina stats

Llapi and Prishtina recent form

newest first
Llapi DLDLLL
Prishtina LWDDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Llapi and Prishtina season so far

league record

Llapi record

  • They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.

Prishtina record

  • They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

Llapi vs Prishtina head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Llapi wins 4Draws 5Prishtina wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-30PrishtinaLlapiKosovo Superliga4-0
2026-04-18LlapiPrishtinaKosovo Superliga0-0
2026-02-15PrishtinaLlapiKosovo Superliga4-1
2025-10-29LlapiPrishtinaKosovo Superliga2-1
2025-08-24PrishtinaLlapiKosovo Superliga3-0
2025-05-22PrishtinaLlapiCup1-0
2025-04-28LlapiPrishtinaSuperliga1-1
2025-03-03PrishtinaLlapiSuperliga0-0
2024-11-10LlapiPrishtinaSuperliga1-1
2024-08-31PrishtinaLlapiSuperliga3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Llapi vs Prishtina odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Prishtina Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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