Malisheva
vs
Feronikeli
Garuda Lions Prediction: Malisheva
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.74.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Malisheva vs Feronikeli overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Malisheva vs Feronikeli
| Probability | Malisheva | Draw | Feronikeli |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.2% | 22.5% | 12.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 65.2% | 22.5% | 12.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Malisheva
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Malisheva vs Feronikeli match preview
Malisheva enters the match against Feronikeli with a strong recent form, having won five of their last six matches, while Feronikeli's form is mixed with two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six outings. According to our model, Malisheva has a 65% probability of winning, with an expected goals figure of 1.96 compared to Feronikeli's 0.74. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which has a 13% likelihood.
In terms of scoring, there is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams have a 46% probability of scoring. Historically, Malisheva has performed well against Feronikeli, with five wins and four draws in their last ten encounters, while Feronikeli has managed just one win. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Malisheva and Feronikeli expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.71
Malisheva and Feronikeli attack and defence ratings
Malisheva
Feronikeli
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Malisheva vs Feronikeli markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malisheva | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Malisheva win | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malisheva | 65.2% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Feronikeli | 12.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.1% |
| No | 53.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Malisheva win | 40.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 34.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 12.1% | |
| 1-1 | 10.7% |
Malisheva vs Feronikeli stats
Malisheva and Feronikeli recent form
| Malisheva |
WWDWWW |
| Feronikeli |
WLDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Malisheva and Feronikeli season so far
Malisheva record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Feronikeli record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
Malisheva vs Feronikeli head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Feronikeli | Malisheva | Kosovo Superliga | 0-3 |
| 2025-05-11 | Malisheva | Feronikeli | Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Feronikeli | Malisheva | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-12-08 | Malisheva | Feronikeli | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-29 | Feronikeli | Malisheva | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-27 | Feronikeli | Malisheva | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-24 | Malisheva | Feronikeli | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-03 | Feronikeli | Malisheva | Cup | 1-3 |
| 2023-11-04 | Feronikeli | Malisheva | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2023-09-02 | Malisheva | Feronikeli | Superliga | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.